TCU Horned Frogs vs UCF Knights Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our TCU vs UCF NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Orlando.

TCU vs UCF Prediction

The Horned Frogs and Knights are set to face off at 4:00 ET on ESPN+. The Knights will host the game at Addition Financial Arena in Orlando, FL. The over/under for this Big 12 conference contest is set at 148.5 points, with UCF being favored by -3.5 at home against TCU.

TCU vs. UCF Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: TCU Horned Frogs at UCF Knights
Where: Orlando at Addition Financial Arena
Date: Saturday, January 25th
Betting Odds UCF -3.5, TCU +150 | UCF -186 O/U 148.5

Horned Frogs Preview: Do the Horned Frogs Have What it Takes in Orlando?

TCU Horned Frogs Recent Game/Games

TCU fell to 10-8 on the season after a 74-61 home loss to Kansas on Wednesday. The Horned Frogs entered the game as +7 underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The combined points of 135 narrowly missed the O/U line of 135.5.

TCU led 35-33 at halftime but struggled in the second half, scoring just 26 points while allowing 41.

Horned Frogs Offense Breakdown

TCU's offense struggled in their last game, shooting just 37.9% from the field and 20.8% from three-point range, hitting 5 of 24 attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 42.4%, and they made only 6 of 12 free throws, finishing with 61 points.

Hunter Dickinson led the way with 16 points and 9 rebounds, shooting 70.0% from the field. Noah Reynolds added 14 points, hitting 2 of 5 from beyond the arc, while Shakeel Moore connected on 3 of 4 threes, finishing with 11 points.

Horned Frogs Team Defense

Even though TCU gave up 74 points, they held their opponent to just 37% shooting from the field, with the other team making 25 of 66 shots. TCU's defense was particularly effective from beyond the arc, where they limited their opponent to 5 of 24 shooting, just 20%.

From the free-throw line, TCU's opponent went 6 for 12, shooting 50%. TCU also allowed 16 offensive rebounds in the game.

Knights Preview: Can UCF Lock in a Home Win?

UCF Knights Recent Game/Games

The Knights fell to 12-6 on the season after a 108-83 road loss to Iowa State on Tuesday. UCF entered the game as +16 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread.

UCF trailed 54-36 at halftime and allowed 54 points in the 2nd half while scoring 47 of their own. The game’s total points of 191 exceeded the O/U line of 154.5.

Knights Offense Breakdown

UCF put up 83 points in their last game, shooting 42.9% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 50.8%. They hit 45.8% from three-point range, connecting on 11 of 24 attempts, while shooting 41% on two-pointers. At the free-throw line, they made 18 of 23, good for 78.3%.

Joshua Jefferson led the way with 30 points, shooting 64.3% overall and 75% from deep. Jordan Ivy-Curry added 24 points, hitting 6 of 9 from beyond the arc, while Keshon Gilbert contributed 21 points and 8 assists, shooting 66.7% from the field.

Knights Team Defense

UCF's defense struggled in their last game, giving up 108 points on 56% shooting from the field. The Knights allowed their opponent to hit 63% of their two-point attempts, going 31/49.

From beyond the arc, UCF's opponent shot 40%, making 9 of 22 three-pointers. They also sent the opposing team to the free-throw line 25 times, where they converted 19 free throws for 76%.

Horned Frogs vs Knights Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Through their last five road contests, the Horned Frogs offense has averaged 67 points per game while allowing an average of 75. TCU posted an overall record of 1-4 while going 2-3 ATS.
In their last three home games, UCF has averaged 86 points per game while allowing 95. The team's record in this stretch was 1-2 while going 2-1.
As the betting underdog, the Horned Frogs have an ATS mark of just 4-6 in their last ten games. TCU posted a straight up mark of 2-8 in these matchups.
Looking back on the team's last ten games as the favorite, the Knights have a straight up record of 9-1. Their record vs the spread in these games was 4-6.