Tarleton State Texans vs UT Arlington Mavericks Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our UT Arlington vs Tarleton State NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Stephenville.

UT Arlington vs Tarleton State Prediction

The Mavericks and Texans are set to face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Texans will host the game at Wisdom Gym in Stephenville, TX. UT Arlington is favored by -5.5 in this Western Athletic conference matchup the against Tarleton State. The over/under for the game is set at 138.5 points.

UT Arlington vs. Tarleton State Matchup At A Glance

  • Sport: NCAAB
  • Teams: UT Arlington Mavericks at Tarleton State Texans
  • Where: Stephenville at Wisdom Gym
  • Date: Saturday, January 4th
  • Betting Odds TXA -5.5, TXA -230 | TARL +185 O/U 138.5

Mavericks Preview: Taking a Look at the Mavericks Chances on the Road

UT Arlington Mavericks Recent Game/Games

UT Arlington improved to 5-7 on the season with an 80-72 road win over Texas State on Sunday, December 29th. The Mavericks entered the game as +6.5 point underdogs and not only pulled off the upset but also covered the spread.

After trailing 39-32 at halftime, UT Arlington turned things around in the 2nd half, outscoring Texas State 48-33. The total points for the game reached 152, going over the pre-game line of 147.5.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

UT Arlington's offense put up 80 points in their last game, shooting 51% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 54.9%. They hit just 3 of 10 from beyond the arc, but connected on 56.1% of their two-point attempts and made 25 of 32 free throws, good for 78.1%.

Diante Smith led the way with 24 points, shooting 9 of 11 overall and 2 of 3 from deep. Tyrel Morgan added 22 points and 8 rebounds, while Lance Ware contributed 19 points and 12 boards, hitting 8 of 10 shots from the field.

Mavericks Team Defense

Despite UT Arlington's strong defensive effort, the Mavericks couldn't keep their opponents off the free-throw line, where they gave up 28 points on 35 attempts. Overall, UT Arlington allowed 72 points while holding the opposing team to 38% shooting from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Mavericks limited their opponents to just 4 made threes on 17 attempts, a 23% shooting performance. Inside the arc, the opposing team shot 45%, converting 16 of 35 two-point attempts. UT Arlington also gave up 10 offensive rebounds in the game.

Texans Preview: Will the Texans Come Through as Home Underdogs?

Tarleton State Texans Recent Game/Games

Tarleton State improved to 2-10 on the season with a 70-60 win over Florida A&M on Sunday, December 29th. Playing at home, the Texans were favored by 9 points and covered the spread. The total points for the game were 130, just under the O/U line of 133.5.

Tarleton State took control early, leading 39-26 at halftime. However, they allowed 34 points in the 2nd half while scoring 31, making the game closer than expected.

Texans Offense Breakdown

Tarleton State put up 70 points in their last game, shooting 41.7% from the field and 44.4% from beyond the arc, hitting 4 of 9 threes. Their effective field goal percentage was 45%, and they connected on 66.7% of their free throws, going 16 for 24 at the line.

Keitenn Bristow led the way with 23 points on 9 of 14 shooting, including 2 for 2 from three-point range. Bubu Benjamin added 17 points and 11 rebounds, while Sterling Young contributed 16 points, hitting 2 of 4 from deep.

Texans Team Defense

Tarleton State's defense held their opponent to 60 points on 41% shooting from the field, as they went 25/60 overall. Inside the arc, the Texans limited them to 41% shooting, with 21 made two-pointers on 51 attempts.

From beyond the arc, Tarleton State's defense gave up just 4 threes on 9 attempts, with their opponent shooting 44% from deep. They also sent them to the free-throw line 24 times, where they converted 16 for 66%. The Texans allowed 12 offensive rebounds in the game.

Mavericks vs Texans Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

  • Across their last five road contests, UT Arlington has been good against the spread posting a mark of 4-1. Their overall mark in these games was 3-2, while averaging 73 points per game.
  • Across the Texans last ten home games, the team averaged 61 points per game while allowing 75. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 6-4, while going 3-7 straight-up.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Texans have a straight up record of 1-9. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-5.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 9-1. But, their mark vs the spread was just 7-3.

UT Arlington vs Tarleton State Prediction & Free Pick

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