South Alabama Jaguars vs TCU Horned Frogs Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our South Alabama vs TCU NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Fort Worth.

South Alabama vs TCU Prediction

Don't miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Jaguars and Horned Frogs. The game is starting at 8:00 ET on ESPN+, and it's hosted by the Horned Frogs at Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena in Fort Worth, TX. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 138 points, and TCU is favored by -12.5 at home against South Alabama.

South Alabama vs. TCU Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: South Alabama Jaguars at TCU Horned Frogs
Where: Fort Worth at Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena
Date: Monday, December 16th
Betting Odds TCU -12.5, SALA +612 | TCU -1014 O/U 138

Jaguars Preview: Is A Road Victory Likely for Underdog South Alabama?

South Alabama improved to 6-3 on the season with an 81-72 road win over East Texas A&M on Sunday. The Jaguars entered the game as 8-point favorites and covered the spread. The total points for the game reached 153, surpassing the O/U line of 135.5.

Leading 38-32 at halftime, South Alabama scored 43 points in the 2nd half while allowing 40. Their offense continued to perform well, helping them secure the win and cover.

Jaguars Offense Breakdown

South Alabama's offense was firing on all cylinders in their last game, putting up 81 points on 51.9% shooting from the field. They were particularly effective from beyond the arc, hitting 45% of their threes, with an effective field goal percentage of 59.3%.

Myles Corey led the way with 27 points and 5 assists, while Yusef Salih and Khaliq Abdul-Mateen each added 17 points, with Salih hitting 5 threes at a 62.5% clip. Barry Dunning Jr. contributed 14 points on 70% shooting, and John Broom and Judah Brown each went 4-for-5 from the field.

Jaguars Team Defense

South Alabama's defense gave up 72 points, allowing their opponent to shoot 48% from the field. They hit 24 of their 50 shots, including 7 of 13 from two-point range, where they shot 53%.

From beyond the arc, South Alabama's opponent went 17/37, shooting 45%. They also sent them to the line 11 times, where they made 7 free throws, shooting 63%. South Alabama allowed 7 offensive rebounds.

Horned Frogs Preview: Do the Horned Frogs Have What it Takes to Win as Home Favorites?

TCU dropped to 5-4 on the season after an 83-74 home loss to Vanderbilt on Sunday, December 8th. The Horned Frogs entered the game as +2.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game reached 157, surpassing the over/under line of 149.5.

TCU trailed 41-38 at halftime and couldn’t turn things around in the second half, scoring 36 points while allowing 42. The Horned Frogs will need to tighten up defensively as they look to bounce back from this loss.

Horned Frogs Offense Breakdown

TCU's offense put up 74 points in their last game, shooting 49% from the field and 58.8% from beyond the arc, hitting 10 of 17 three-point attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 58.8%, but they struggled at the free-throw line, making just 53.8% of their attempts.

Jason Edwards led the way with 30 points, while four other players contributed 11 points each. Brendan Wenzel was perfect from the field, going 3 for 3 overall and from three-point range.

Horned Frogs Team Defense

TCU's defense struggled, giving up 83 points on 49% shooting from the field. They allowed 10 threes on 17 attempts, with the opponent hitting 58% from beyond the arc.

Despite the defensive issues, TCU limited the damage at the free-throw line, where the opponent shot just 53% on 26 attempts. The Horned Frogs also gave up 7 offensive rebounds.

Jaguars vs Horned Frogs Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

When looking at their past three road matchups, South Alabama has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 68 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
Although TCU has a straight up record of 0-3 in their last three home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 0-3. The team averaged 69 points per game in these games.
Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Jaguars have a straight up record of 4-6. But, their mark vs the spread was just 6-4.
Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Horned Frogs have gone 3-7 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 6-4.