Pepperdine Waves vs UC Davis Aggies Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our UC Davis vs Pepperdine NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Malibu.

UC Davis vs Pepperdine Prediction

Don't miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Aggies and Waves. The game is starting at 3:00 ET on ESPN+, and it's hosted by the Waves at Firestone Fieldhouse in Malibu, CA. Get ready to place your bets! In this non-conference matchup, UC Davis is favored by -1.5 against Pepperdine. The over/under for the game is 145.5 points.

UC Davis vs. Pepperdine Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: UC Davis Aggies at Pepperdine Waves
Where: Malibu at Firestone Fieldhouse
Date: Saturday, December 21st
Betting Odds UCDV -1.5, UCDV -130 | PEPP +107 O/U 145.5

Aggies Preview: Are UC Davis Ready for a Road Win?

UC Davis Aggies Recent Game/Games

UC Davis improved to 6-4 on the season with a 74-66 win over Idaho on Wednesday. The Aggies were -6.5 favorites at home and covered the spread. The game’s total points fell just under the O/U line of 141.5, with a combined 140 points.

After leading 32-25 at halftime, UC Davis scored 42 points in the 2nd half while allowing 41. The Aggies’ ability to hold off Idaho’s offense in the 2nd half was key to their win.

Aggies Offense Breakdown

UC Davis put up 74 points in their last game, shooting 42% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 48%. They connected on 35.7% of their threes (5/14) and hit 44.4% of their two-point attempts (16/36). From the free-throw line, the Aggies struggled, making just 62.8% of their 43 attempts.

Kolton Mitchell led the way with 26 points, shooting 66.7% overall and 57.1% from three (4/7). Ty Johnson added 19 points despite shooting 35.3% from the field. Niko Rocak contributed 13 points and 11 rebounds, while Takai Hardy also grabbed 10 boards. The Aggies finished with 15 offensive rebounds and 12 assists as a team.

Aggies Team Defense

UC Davis gave up 66 points in their last game, with the opposing team shooting 42% from the field. They allowed 16 two-point field goals on 36 attempts, a 44% shooting rate.

From beyond the arc, the Aggies' defense conceded 5 threes on 14 attempts, with the other team shooting 35%. UC Davis also sent them to the free-throw line 43 times, where they made 27 free throws, shooting 62%.

Waves Preview: Can the Waves Pull Off a Home Win?

Pepperdine dropped to 4-7 on the season after a 79-76 loss to Long Beach State on Thursday. The Waves came into the game as -5.5 point favorites but couldn’t cover the spread. The combined points for the game were 155, surpassing the O/U line of 138.5.

Pepperdine trailed 45-36 at halftime but made a push in the second half, outscoring Long Beach State 40-34. Despite the comeback effort, they couldn’t close the gap.

Waves Offense Breakdown

Stefan Todorovic and TJ Wainwright led the way for Pepperdine in their latest game, with Todorovic scoring 32 points and hitting 4 of 9 from deep, while Wainwright added 26 points, connecting on 6 of 8 three-pointers. Moe Odum also contributed 11 assists, despite shooting just 35.7% from the field.

As a team, the Waves shot 40.7% overall, with an effective field goal percentage of 47.5%. They hit 8 of 21 from beyond the arc, shooting 38.1%, and went 20 of 28 from the free-throw line. Pepperdine also grabbed 12 offensive rebounds and finished with 17 assists in the game.

Waves Team Defense

Pepperdine's defense gave up 79 points in their last game, with opponents shooting 40% from the field on 24 of 59 attempts. Inside the arc, they allowed 16 of 38 shooting for 42%.

From three-point range, Pepperdine's opponents hit 8 of 21 shots, good for 38%. They also sent them to the free-throw line 28 times, where they converted 20 for 71%. Pepperdine allowed 12 offensive rebounds.

Aggies vs Waves Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

UC Davis has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 67 points per game while allowing 73. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
In their last three games at home, the Waves have a straight up record of 0-3 while going 0-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 57 points per game in this stretch.
Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Waves have a straight up record of 2-8. But, their mark vs the spread was just 2-8.
In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Aggies have a strong straight up record of 3-0. In addition, their ATS record was 3-0 in these scenarios.