Pacific Tigers vs Saint Mary’s Gaels Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Pacific vs Saint Mary's NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Moraga.

Pacific vs Saint Mary's Prediction

Planning on watching today's Tigers and Gaels game? Catch the action at University Credit Union Pavilion in Moraga, CA, as the Gaels hosts this showdown at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this game is set at 138.5 points, and Saint Mary's is favored by -21.5 vs. Pacific in a West Coast conference matchup.

Pacific vs. Saint Mary's Matchup At A Glance

  • Sport: NCAAB
  • Teams: Pacific Tigers at Saint Mary's Gaels
  • Where: Moraga at University Credit Union Pavilion
  • Date: Saturday, December 28th
  • Betting Odds STMRY -21.5, PACFC +2200 | STMRY -8000 O/U 138.5

Tigers Preview: Is a Road Win Possible for Pacific?

Pacific Tigers Recent Game/Games

Pacific's season continued to be a struggle, as they fell to 3-9 after a 95-72 home loss to Idaho on Saturday, December 21st. The Tigers were -4 favorites going into the game but failed to cover the spread.

Pacific trailed 47-31 at halftime and couldn't turn things around in the 2nd half, allowing 48 points while scoring 41. The total points for the game reached 167, going over the pre-game O/U line of 143.5.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

Kolton Mitchell's 32 points on 70.6% shooting, including 6-of-10 from three, led Pacific's offense in their last game. The Tigers hit 11 threes at a 37.9% clip, with an overall field goal percentage of 42.2% and an effective field goal percentage of 50%.

Kristian Gonzalez added 20 points, shooting 63.6% from the field and 42.9% from three. Pacific finished with 17 assists, with Mitchell and Lamar Washington each dishing out 6.

Tigers Team Defense

Despite giving up 95 points, the Pacific Tigers held their opponents to 42% shooting from the field, as they went 27/64. Inside the arc, the Tigers allowed 45% shooting, with their opponents making 16 of 35 two-point attempts.

From three-point range, Pacific's defense saw their opponents hit 11 of 29 shots, good for 37%. The Tigers also sent their opponents to the free-throw line 9 times, where they converted 7 attempts for 77%. Pacific gave up 9 offensive rebounds in the game.

Gaels Preview: Taking a Look at the Gaels Chances at Home

Saint Mary's Gaels Recent Game/Games

Saint Mary's fell to 9-3 on the season after a 75-68 loss to Utah State on Sunday. The Gaels, who were -5.5 point favorites, failed to cover the spread in this home game. The total points for the game ended just under the O/U line of 143.5, with a combined 143 points.

Saint Mary's trailed 39-27 at halftime but showed some fight in the second half, outscoring the Aggies 41-36. However, it wasn't enough to overcome their early deficit.

Gaels Offense Breakdown

Saint Mary's put up 68 points in their last game, shooting 44.4% from the field and 40% from beyond the arc, hitting 10 of 25 threes. Their effective field goal percentage was 53.7%, but they struggled at the free-throw line, making just 52.6% of their attempts.

Mitchell Saxen and Mason Falslev each scored 18 points, with Falslev shooting 72.7% from the field. Saxen added 6 rebounds and 4 assists, while Augustas Marciulionis contributed 8 assists to go with his 12 points.

Gaels Team Defense

Saint Mary's Gaels gave up 75 points in their last game, with the opposing team shooting 44% from the field (24/54). The Gaels allowed 48% shooting on two-point attempts, as the other team went 14/29.

From beyond the arc, the Gaels' defense allowed 10/25 shooting, or 40%. They also sent the other team to the free-throw line 19 times, where they made 10, shooting 52%. Saint Mary's gave up 9 offensive rebounds.

Tigers vs Gaels Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Pacific has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 64 per game. The team went 0-5 overall in these games.
  • The Gaels are 2-1 ATS in their last three home games and 2-1 straight-up.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Tigers have a straight up record of 0-3 and an ATS mark of 2-1.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the favorite, Saint Mary's has an ATS mark of 0-5 while going 2-3 straight up.

Pacific vs Saint Mary's Prediction & Free Pick

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