North Texas Mean Green vs UTSA Roadrunners Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our UTSA vs North Texas NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Denton.

UTSA vs North Texas Prediction

Betting on today's Roadrunners and Mean Green game? Catch the action at UNT Coliseum in Denton, TX, as the Mean Green hosts this showdown at 6:00 ET on ESPN+. This American Athletic conference matchup has an over/under of 136.5 points, and North Texas is favored to win by -14.5 at home vs. UTSA.

UTSA vs. North Texas Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: UTSA Roadrunners at North Texas Mean Green
Where: Denton at UNT Coliseum
Date: Saturday, February 1st
Betting Odds NTX -14.5, UTSA +920 | NTX -1800 O/U 136.5

Roadrunners Preview: Will the Roadrunners Win in Denton?

UTSA Roadrunners Recent Game/Games

The Roadrunners dropped to 7-11 on the season after a 94-74 loss to Florida Atlantic on Wednesday. UTSA was a +9.5 underdog going into the game and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 168, surpassing the over/under line of 159.5.

UTSA trailed 47-32 at halftime and couldn’t close the gap in the second half, scoring 42 points but allowing 47. The Roadrunners will need to tighten up defensively to get back on track.

Roadrunners Offense Breakdown

UTSA's offense put up 74 points in their last game, shooting 37.7% from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 47.5%, thanks to hitting 44.4% from beyond the arc, connecting on 12 of 27 attempts. They struggled inside, shooting just 32.4% on two-pointers, but excelled at the free-throw line, making 16 of 18 for 88.9%.

KyKy Tandy was a standout, hitting 8 of 10 threes and finishing with 26 points in 25 minutes. Damari Monsanto also hit 7 threes, shooting 77.8% from deep and scoring 21 points. Marcus Millender added 19 points, while Primo Spears contributed 16 points and 5 assists.

Roadrunners Team Defense

The UTSA Roadrunners struggled defensively, giving up 94 points on 54% shooting from the field. Their opponents were effective inside, hitting 57% of their two-point attempts.

From beyond the arc, UTSA allowed 14 threes on 28 attempts, a 50% shooting performance. They also sent their opponents to the line 18 times, where they converted 14 free throws.

Mean Green Preview: Will the Mean Green Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?

North Texas Mean Green Recent Game/Games

North Texas improved to 14-4 on the season with a 58-54 win over Wichita State on Wednesday. The Mean Green were -4.5 favorites going into the game but didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game were 112, well under the O/U line of 133.5.

North Texas led 30-24 at halftime and scored 28 points in the 2nd half while allowing 30. Despite not covering the spread, they secured the win on the road.

Mean Green Offense Breakdown

North Texas struggled offensively in their last game, scoring just 58 points with a 40% field goal percentage. Their effective field goal percentage was 43.6%, and they hit only 3 of 12 from beyond the arc, shooting 25% from three-point range. However, they were perfect from the free-throw line, going 11 for 11.

Xavier Bell had a tough shooting night, hitting just 4 of 17 overall, though he did make 2 of 6 from three, finishing with 19 points. Moulaye Sissoko was efficient, shooting 7 of 11 for 16 points and grabbing 6 rebounds. Atin Wright also contributed 15 points and 6 rebounds, making 2 of 5 from three-point range.

Mean Green Team Defense

North Texas put on a defensive clinic, holding their opponent to just 54 points on 36% shooting from the field. They were particularly effective at defending the three-point line, where they allowed only 3 made threes on 15 attempts, a 20% shooting performance.

Inside the arc, North Texas gave up 15 two-point field goals on 35 attempts, a 42% shooting rate. They also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 18 times, where they converted 15 of those attempts, an 83% success rate. The Mean Green allowed 8 offensive rebounds in the game.

Roadrunners vs Mean Green Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across the Roadrunners last ten road games, the team averaged 75 points per game while allowing 84. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 5-5, while going 2-8 straight-up.
North Texas has played well in their previous three home games, going 3-0 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 66 points per game while allowing 57. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Roadrunners have gone 2-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.
Looking back on the team's last ten games as the favorite, the Mean Green have a straight up record of 10-0. Their record vs the spread in these games was 5-5.