New Mexico Lobos vs San Diego State Aztecs Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our San Diego State vs New Mexico NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Albuquerque.

San Diego State vs New Mexico Prediction

Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Aztecs versus the Lobos? Tip off is at at 1:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on CBS. The game will be played at The Pit in Albuquerque, NM. The odds for this Mountain West conference game currently have New Mexico as the -3.5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 147.5 points.

San Diego State vs. New Mexico Matchup At A Glance

  • Sport: NCAAB
  • Teams: San Diego State Aztecs at New Mexico Lobos
  • Where: Albuquerque at The Pit
  • Date: Saturday, January 11th
  • Betting Odds NMX -3.5, SDST +134 | NMX -162 O/U 147.5

Aztecs Preview: Can the Aztecs Grab a Win in Albuquerque?

San Diego State improved to 9-3 on the season with a dominant 67-38 win over Air Force on Wednesday. The Aztecs, who were -19 favorites, covered the spread with ease.

After leading 33-24 at halftime, SDSU's defense clamped down, allowing just 14 points in the 2nd half while scoring 34. The total points for the game were 105, well under the 129.5 O/U line.

Aztecs Offense Breakdown

San Diego State struggled offensively in their last game, shooting just 36.2% from the field and 23.1% from beyond the arc. Their effective field goal percentage was 40.6%, and they hit only 57.9% of their free throws.

Despite their shooting woes, the Aztecs grabbed 24 offensive rebounds. Nick Boyd and BJ Davis led the way, with Boyd scoring 16 points and hitting 3 of 5 threes, while Davis added 15 points, connecting on 3 of 4 from deep.

Aztecs Team Defense

San Diego State's defense was dominant, holding their opponent to just 38 points on 36% shooting from the field. They limited two-point attempts to 19/43 (44%) and were even more effective from beyond the arc, where their opponent shot just 6/26 (23%).

Even at the free-throw line, San Diego State's defense didn't give much away, with their opponent hitting only 11/19 (57%). Despite allowing 24 offensive rebounds, the Aztecs' defense still managed to keep the scoring in check.

Lobos Preview: Do the Lobos Have What it Takes at Home?

New Mexico Lobos Recent Game/Games

New Mexico improved to 12-3 on the season with a 61-53 road win over Wyoming on Tuesday. The Lobos entered the game as 7-point favorites and covered the spread, while the total points of 114 fell well under the O/U line of 144.5.

After trailing 32-18 at halftime, New Mexico turned things around by scoring 43 points and holding Wyoming to just 21 in the second half.

Lobos Offense Breakdown

New Mexico struggled offensively in their last game, shooting just 33.3% from the field and 23.8% from beyond the arc. Their effective field goal percentage was 38.6%, and they managed only 8 assists as a team.

Donovan Dent led the way with 22 points and 6 assists, while Filip Borovicanin contributed 16 points and 11 rebounds, hitting 3 of 6 from three-point range. The Lobos did shoot 81.8% from the free-throw line, hitting 18 of 22 attempts.

Lobos Team Defense

New Mexico's defense was on point, holding their opponent to just 53 points on 32% shooting from the field. They limited two-point opportunities, with the other team making just 14 of 40 attempts, a 35% success rate.

From beyond the arc, New Mexico's defense kept the pressure on, allowing just 5 threes on 19 attempts, a 26% shooting performance. They also sent the opposing team to the line 17 times, where they converted 10 free throws, shooting 58%.

Aztecs vs Lobos Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Aztecs have a straight up record of 8-2 while going 7-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 71 points per game in this stretch.
  • In their last three home games, New Mexico has averaged 80 points per game while allowing 70. The team's record in this stretch was 3-0 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
  • Through their last three games as the underdog, the Aztecs have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 2-1.
  • Against the spread, the Lobos have put together of 2-3 in their last five games as the betting favorite. In these same games, they went 4-1 straight up.

San Diego State vs New Mexico Prediction & Free Pick

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