Nevada Wolf Pack vs New Mexico Lobos Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Nevada vs New Mexico NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Albuquerque.

Nevada vs New Mexico Prediction

Don't miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Wolf Pack and Lobos. The game is starting at 11:00 ET on FS1, and it's hosted by the Lobos at The Pit in Albuquerque, NM. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 150.5 points, and New Mexico is favored by -6.5 to win at home against Nevada.

Nevada vs. New Mexico Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: Nevada Wolf Pack at New Mexico Lobos
Where: Albuquerque at The Pit
Date: Friday, January 3rd
Betting Odds NMX -6.5, NEVADA +207 | NMX -259 O/U 150.5

Wolf Pack Preview: Can the Wolf Pack Lock in a Win at Albuquerque?

Nevada Wolf Pack Recent Game

The Wolf Pack dropped to 8-6 on the season after a 69-64 home loss to Utah State on Tuesday. Nevada, favored by 3.5 points, not only lost the game but also failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game came in at 133, under the 145.5 O/U line.

Nevada led 33-28 at halftime but allowed 41 points in the 2nd half while scoring just 31. The team will need to address their 2nd-half defense moving forward.

Wolf Pack Offense Breakdown

Nevada's offense put up 64 points in their last game, shooting 42.1% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 49.1%. They connected on 50% of their two-point attempts, but struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 30.4% (7/23) of their threes. At the free-throw line, they shot 75%, making 9 of 12 attempts.

The Wolf Pack grabbed 12 offensive rebounds and dished out 19 assists. Ian Martinez led the team with 17 points, while Nick Davidson and Tucker Anderson each added 16. Mason Falslev contributed 14 points, shooting 60% from the field and 66.7% from three-point range.

Wolf Pack Team Defense

Nevada's defense gave up 69 points in their last game, with opponents shooting 42% from the field. They allowed 17 two-point baskets on 34 attempts, a 50% conversion rate.

From beyond the arc, Nevada's opponents hit 7 of 23 threes, shooting 30%. They also went 9/12 from the free-throw line, while Nevada gave up 12 offensive rebounds.

Lobos Preview: Will the Lobos Secure A Victory as Home Favorites?

New Mexico improved to 10-3 on the season with a 103-89 road win over Fresno State on Tuesday. The Lobos entered the game as -14.5 favorites but didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game reached 192, surpassing the O/U line of 160.5.

New Mexico led 53-36 at halftime and added 50 points in the 2nd half. However, they allowed Fresno State to score 53 points after the break, which kept the game closer than expected.

Lobos Offense Breakdown

New Mexico's offense was firing on all cylinders in their last game, putting up 103 points with a 58.6% shooting percentage from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was an impressive 65.7%, thanks in part to their 68.1% shooting from inside the arc. From three-point range, the Lobos connected on 39.1% of their attempts, hitting 9 of 23 shots.

Mustapha Amzil and C.J. Noland each scored 23 points, with Amzil hitting 4 of 6 from deep and Noland shooting 11 of 17 overall. Zaon Collins added 20 points, making 8 of 11 shots, while Donovan Dent contributed 18 points and 6 assists. The Lobos finished with 21 assists as a team, and Nelly Junior Joseph grabbed a team-high 12 rebounds.

Lobos Team Defense

New Mexico's defense struggled, giving up 89 points on 43% shooting. They allowed 29 field goals on 67 attempts.

From three-point range, they gave up 10 threes on 22 attempts, with the opponent shooting 45%.

Wolf Pack vs Lobos Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across the Wolf Pack last five road games, the team averaged 68 points per game while allowing 67. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 2-3 straight-up.
When looking at their past three home matchups, New Mexico has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 87 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
Nevada has done well both straight up and vs the spread as the underdog, going 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
Although the Lobos have a strong straight up record in their last five games as the betting favorite, they have not done as well vs the spread going 2-3.