Marist Red Foxes vs UMBC Retrievers Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our UMBC vs Marist NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Poughkeepsie.

UMBC vs Marist Prediction

Betting on today's Retrievers and Red Foxes game? Catch the action at McCann Center in Poughkeepsie, NY, as the Red Foxes hosts this showdown at 1:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this non-conference contest is set at 147.5 points, with Marist being favored by -3.5 over UMBC.

UMBC vs. Marist Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: UMBC Retrievers at Marist Red Foxes
Where: Poughkeepsie at McCann Center
Date: Saturday, December 21st
Betting Odds MARIST -3.5, UMBC +148 | MARIST -183 O/U 147.5

Retrievers Preview: Will the Retrievers Win on the Road?

UMBC Retrievers Recent Game/Games

UMBC dropped to 5-6 on the season after a 91-82 road loss to Georgia Tech on Wednesday, December 18th. Entering the game as +15.5 point underdogs, the Retrievers managed to keep it closer than expected.

After trailing 53-34 at halftime, UMBC outscored Georgia Tech 48-38 in the 2nd half. The game’s total points of 173 went over the pre-game line of 160.5.

Retrievers Offense Breakdown

UMBC's offense was clicking in their last game, putting up 82 points while shooting 51.7% from the field. They connected on 40% of their threes, going 10-for-25, and hit 60.6% of their two-point attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was an impressive 60.3%.

The Retrievers dished out 18 assists, with Naithan George leading the way with 8. Bryce Johnson added 4 assists to go along with his team-high 21 points. Louie Jordan hit 5 threes, finishing with 17 points, while Ace Valentine shot 70% from the field, contributing 16 points.

Retrievers Team Defense

UMBC's defense struggled in their last game, giving up 91 points on 52% shooting from the field. They allowed their opponent to hit 53% of their two-point attempts, going 24/45.

From beyond the arc, UMBC's opponent shot 50%, making 8 of 16 threes. The Retrievers also sent them to the line 29 times, where they hit 19 free throws (65%). UMBC gave up 14 offensive rebounds as well.

Red Foxes Preview: Is a Home Win Possible for the Red Foxes?

Marist improved to 7-2 on the season with a 68-66 road win over Stony Brook on Tuesday. The Red Foxes were -2 favorites going into the game, and the win resulted in a push against the spread. The total points for the game were 134, just under the O/U line of 134.5.

After trailing 36-30 at halftime, Marist turned things around in the second half, outscoring Stony Brook 38-30 to secure the win.

Red Foxes Offense Breakdown

Marist's offense put up 68 points in their last game, shooting 45.9% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 52.5%. They hit 54.1% of their two-point attempts and went 8-for-24 from beyond the arc, shooting 33.3% from three-point range.

Elijah Lewis led the way with 16 points and 6 rebounds, shooting 53.8% overall and 40% from three. CJ Luster II and Josh Pascarelli each added 15 points, with Luster hitting 50% from deep and Pascarelli connecting on 33.3% of his three-point attempts.

Red Foxes Team Defense

Marist's defense gave up 66 points while allowing the opponent to shoot 44% from the field, with 12 of those baskets coming from two-point range at a 54% clip.

From beyond the arc, the opponent shot 34%, hitting 8 of 23 attempts. Marist also sent them to the free-throw line 22 times, where they converted 18 free throws for 81%.

Retrievers vs Red Foxes Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across their last three road contests, UMBC has a 2-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-2, while averaging 76 points per game.
Through their last five home games, Marist has an ATS record of just 2-2-1. However, their overall record was 3-2 while averaging 72 points per game.
Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, UMBC has an ATS mark of 3-2 while going 2-3 straight up.
The last ten games that Marist was favored, they have an ATS mark of 3-6-1 while going 9-1 straight up.