Liberty Flames vs New Mexico State Aggies Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our New Mexico State vs Liberty NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Lynchburg.

New Mexico State vs Liberty Prediction

Betting on today's Aggies and Flames game? Catch the action at Liberty Arena in Lynchburg, VA, as the Flames hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this Conference USA conference contest is set at 131.5 points, with Liberty being favored by -7.5 at home against New Mexico State.

New Mexico State vs. Liberty Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: New Mexico State Aggies at Liberty Flames
Where: Lynchburg at Liberty Arena
Date: Saturday, January 18th
Betting Odds LIBRTY -7.5, NMXST +280 | LIBRTY -360 O/U 131.5

Aggies Preview: Will the Aggies Make it Happen on the Road?

New Mexico State improved to 8-6 on the season with a 59-52 road win over FIU on Thursday. The Aggies were favored by 3.5 points and covered the spread.

Leading 28-26 at halftime, New Mexico State outscored FIU 31-26 in the second half. The game’s total points (111) fell well short of the 142.5 O/U line.

Aggies Offense Breakdown

New Mexico State managed just 59 points in their last game, shooting 40.8% from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 46.9%, with a 41.2% mark on two-point attempts and 40% from beyond the arc, hitting 6 of 15 threes.

At the free-throw line, the Aggies shot 59.1%, making 13 of 22 attempts. They grabbed 10 offensive rebounds and dished out 10 assists. Vianney Salatchoum, Jayden Brewer, Zawdie Jackson, and Dionte Bostick each scored 13 points, with Bostick hitting both of his three-point attempts.

Aggies Team Defense

New Mexico State's defense was strong, giving up just 52 points while holding their opponent to 35% shooting from the field. They allowed 17 two-point baskets on 41 attempts, a 41% conversion rate.

From beyond the arc, the Aggies limited their opponent to 2 made threes on 13 attempts, just 15% shooting. They also sent them to the free-throw line 17 times, where they made 12, a 70% success rate. New Mexico State gave up 14 offensive rebounds.

Flames Preview: Are Liberty Ready for a Home Win?

Liberty Flames Recent Game/Games

The Flames fell to 11-4 on the season after a narrow 72-70 home loss to UTEP on Thursday. Liberty, who were -8 favorites, didn’t cover the spread.

After a 31-31 tie at halftime, the Flames were edged out 41-39 in the second half. The combined points of 142 exceeded the O/U line of 134.5.

Flames Offense Breakdown

Liberty's offense put up 70 points in their last game, shooting 46.2% from the field and 39.3% from three-point range, hitting 11 of 28 attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 57.7%, and they connected on 54.2% of their two-point shots.

Taelon Peter led the way with 20 points, shooting 50% from deep, while Kaden Metheny added 17 points, hitting 75% of his threes. Liberty dished out 19 assists, with Corey Camper Jr. contributing 7 assists and 6 rebounds.

Flames Team Defense

Liberty's defense gave up 72 points in their last game, with the opposing team shooting 46% from the field. They allowed 13 two-point baskets on 24 attempts, a 54% shooting rate.

From beyond the arc, the opposition hit 11 of 28 threes, shooting 39%. Liberty also sent them to the free-throw line 17 times, where they made 11, shooting 64%. Liberty limited them to 4 offensive rebounds.

Aggies vs Flames Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

In their last ten games away from home, the Aggies have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 5-5 vs the spread. The team's offense averaged 69 points per game in these contests.
In their last ten games at home, the Flames have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 4-6 vs the spread. The team's offense averaged 69 points per game in these contests.
As the betting underdog, the Aggies have an ATS record of 4-1 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 4-1.
Going back to their last three games as the favorite, the Flames have a straight up record of 1-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-2.