Buffalo Bulls vs Toledo Rockets Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Buffalo vs Toledo NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Toledo.

Buffalo vs Toledo Prediction

Planning on watching today's Bulls and Rockets game? Catch the action at Savage Arena in Toledo, OH, as the Rockets hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. This Mid-American conference matchup has an over/under of 162 points, and Toledo is favored to win by -13.5 at home vs. Buffalo.

Buffalo vs. Toledo Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: Buffalo Bulls at Toledo Rockets
Where: Toledo at Savage Arena
Date: Tuesday, February 4th
Betting Odds TOLEDO -13.5, BUF +615 | TOLEDO -950 O/U 162

Bulls Preview: Can the Bulls Grab a Win on the Road?

Buffalo Bulls Recent Game/Games

Buffalo fell to 5-14 on the season after an 89-76 home loss to Ball State on Saturday. The Bulls entered the game as +2.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread.

Buffalo trailed 45-32 at halftime and couldn’t make up ground in the second half, with both teams scoring 44 points after the break. The total points for the game reached 165, surpassing the over/under line of 153.5.

Bulls Offense Breakdown

Buffalo's offense put up 76 points in their last game, despite shooting just 38.5% from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 44.6%, with a strong 65.4% from two-point range. However, they struggled from beyond the arc, hitting only 20.5% of their threes (8/39).

The Bulls were nearly perfect at the free-throw line, going 18/19 (94.7%), and they grabbed 13 offensive rebounds. Payton Sparks led the way with 27 points and 14 rebounds, while Mickey Pearson Jr. added 19 points, hitting 3 of 4 from three-point range.

Bulls Team Defense

Despite Buffalo's defensive efforts, they gave up 89 points in their last game. They allowed the opposing team to shoot 38% from the field, with 25 made baskets on 65 attempts.

Buffalo struggled to defend inside, where they allowed 17 two-point baskets on 26 attempts, a 65% shooting rate. From beyond the arc, the opposing team hit 8 of 39 threes, shooting 20%. Buffalo also sent them to the line 19 times, where they made 18 free throws, shooting 94%. The Bulls gave up 13 offensive rebounds.

Rockets Preview: Will Toledo Win at Home?

Toledo Rockets Recent Game/Games

Toledo improved to 12-8 on the season with an 89-85 win over Northern Illinois on Saturday. The Rockets were -14 favorites going into the game, but they didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game ended up at 174, surpassing the over/under line of 154.5.

Toledo jumped out to a 50-35 lead in the first half, but they allowed 50 points in the second half while scoring 39. Despite the win, the Rockets will likely focus on tightening up their defense in future games.

Rockets Offense Breakdown

Toledo put up 89 points in their last game, despite shooting just 40% from the field and 30.8% from beyond the arc. Their effective field goal percentage was 43.1%. The Rockets were strong from the free-throw line, hitting 33 of 38 attempts for 86.8%.

Sam Lewis led the way with 23 points, while Nasir Muhammad added 21, shooting 75% from three. Quaran McPherson contributed 20 points, and Javan Simmons grabbed 12 rebounds. Toledo also pulled down 14 offensive boards and dished out 14 assists.

Rockets Team Defense

Despite Toledo's defensive efforts, they couldn't stop their opponent from scoring 85 points. The Rockets allowed them to shoot 40% from the field, with 22 of those baskets coming from two-point range, where they shot 42%.

Toledo also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 38 times, where they hit 33 free throws, shooting 86%. The Rockets gave up 14 offensive rebounds in the game.

Bulls vs Rockets Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Although Buffalo has a straight up record of 1-2 in their last three road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-2. The team averaged 74 points per game in these games.
Across their last three home contests, Toledo has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-0. Their overall mark in these games was 3-0, while averaging 87 points per game.
As the betting underdog, the Bulls have an ATS mark of just 2-3 in their last five games. Buffalo posted a straight up mark of 2-3 in these matchups.
Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Rockets have a straight up record of 7-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 3-7.