Boise State Broncos vs San Diego State Aztecs Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our San Diego State vs Boise State NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Boise.

San Diego State vs Boise State Prediction

Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Aztecs versus the Broncos? Tip off is at at 4:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on CBS. The game will be played at ExtraMile Arena in Boise, ID. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 137.5 points, and Boise State is favored by -4.5 to win at home against San Diego State.

San Diego State vs. Boise State Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: San Diego State Aztecs at Boise State Broncos
Where: Boise at ExtraMile Arena
Date: Saturday, January 4th
Betting Odds BOISE -4.5, SDST +158 | BOISE -190 O/U 137.5

Aztecs Preview: Will the San Diego State Defense Show Up on the Road?

San Diego State Aztecs Recent Game/Games

The Aztecs dropped to 7-3 on the season after a 67-66 home loss to Utah State on Saturday. San Diego State was favored by four points but failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 133, falling short of the 142.5 O/U line.

San Diego State led 43-32 at halftime but managed only 23 points in the 2nd half while allowing 35. Their inability to maintain their lead and offensive struggles in the 2nd half were key factors in the loss.

Aztecs Offense Breakdown

San Diego State struggled from the field in their last game, shooting just 38.5% overall and 25% from three-point range, connecting on 6 of 24 attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 44.2%. However, they excelled at the free-throw line, hitting 20 of 22 shots for a 90.9% success rate.

Ian Martinez led the Aztecs with 17 points, despite shooting 38.5% from the field and 22.2% from beyond the arc. Mason Falslev contributed 16 points, shooting 46.2% overall and 40% from three-point range. Tucker Anderson also impressed, hitting 4 of 7 threes for a 57.1% mark, finishing with 14 points.

Aztecs Team Defense

San Diego State's defense held their opponent to 67 points, with a field goal percentage of 38% (20/52). They allowed 14 two-point baskets on 28 attempts, a 50% shooting rate.

From beyond the arc, the Aztecs limited their opponent to 6 made threes on 24 attempts, a 25% success rate. They also sent the opposing team to the free-throw line 22 times, where they made 20 free throws, shooting 90%. San Diego State gave up 8 offensive rebounds.

Broncos Preview: Are Boise State Ready for a Home Win?

Boise State improved to 10-3 on the season with a 67-58 road win over Wyoming on Tuesday. The Broncos entered the game as -7.5 point favorites and covered the spread with the victory.

Boise State led 25-19 at halftime and scored 42 points in the 2nd half while allowing 39. The game’s total points of 125 fell short of the 136.5 O/U line.

Broncos Offense Breakdown

Boise State put up 67 points in their last game, shooting 45.7% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 54.3%. They connected on 40% of their three-point attempts, going 8-for-20, and hit 77.3% of their free throws, making 17-of-22 from the line.

Alvaro Cardenas led the way with 19 points and 6 assists, while A.J. Wills added 17 points in just 14 minutes, hitting 5-of-7 from deep. Tyson Degenhart contributed 16 points and 9 rebounds, and Obi Agbim chipped in 14 points despite shooting just 31.6% from the field.

Broncos Team Defense

Boise State's defense was strong, holding their opponent to just 58 points on 35% shooting from the field. They limited two-point opportunities, with the other team making only 11 of 32 attempts, a 34% success rate.

From beyond the arc, Boise State allowed 9 threes on 25 attempts, with the opponent shooting 36%. They also sent them to the line 15 times, where they converted 9 free throws, shooting 60%. Boise State gave up 9 offensive rebounds.

Aztecs vs Broncos Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

The Aztecs are 3-0 ATS in their three last road games and 3-0 straight-up.
Through their last three home contests, the Broncos offense has averaged 69 points per game while allowing an average of 67. Boise State posted an overall record of 2-1 while going 1-2 ATS.
The last ten games that San Diego State was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 3-7 while going 3-7 straight up.
Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Broncos have gone 3-7 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 8-2.