Arkansas State Red Wolves vs South Alabama Jaguars Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Arkansas State vs South Alabama NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Mobile.

Arkansas State vs South Alabama Prediction

The Red Wolves and Jaguars are set to face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Jaguars will host the game at Mitchell Center in Mobile, AL. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 140.5 points, and South Alabama is favored by -1.5 to win at home against Arkansas State.

Arkansas State vs. South Alabama Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: Arkansas State Red Wolves at South Alabama Jaguars
Where: Mobile at Mitchell Center
Date: Thursday, January 9th
Betting Odds SALA -1.5, ARKST +107 | SALA -131 O/U 140.5

Red Wolves Preview: Do the Red Wolves Have a Shot at a Win at Mobile?

Arkansas State’s season record dropped to 10-4 after a 67-62 road loss to James Madison on Saturday. The Red Wolves entered the game as slight favorites, but they didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game were 129, falling under the 147.5 O/U line.

Arkansas State led 39-33 at halftime but struggled in the second half, scoring just 23 points while allowing 34. This second-half performance was a key factor in the loss.

Red Wolves Offense Breakdown

In their last game, Arkansas State put up 62 points, shooting 44.3% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 49.2%. They hit 50% of their two-point attempts (22/44) but struggled from beyond the arc, connecting on just 29.4% (5/17) of their threes. Free-throw shooting was also an issue, as they made only 3 of 8 attempts (37.5%).

Taryn Todd led the way with 26 points, hitting 3 of 4 from deep and shooting 52.4% overall. Xavier Brown and Elijah Hutchins-Everett both shot 58.3%, with Hutchins-Everett knocking down 2 of 3 from three-point range. Joseph Pinion contributed 15 points, shooting 60% from the field and 40% from three.

Red Wolves Team Defense

Despite Arkansas State's defensive efforts, they gave up 67 points in their last game, with their opponents shooting 40% from the field, hitting 24 of 59 attempts. Inside the arc, the Red Wolves allowed 45% shooting, as their opponents made 18 of 40 two-point shots.

From three-point range, Arkansas State held their opponents to 31% shooting, with 6 made threes on 19 attempts. The Red Wolves also sent their opponents to the free-throw line 18 times, where they converted 13 for a 72% success rate. Arkansas State gave up 15 offensive rebounds in the game.

Jaguars Preview: Will the Jaguars Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?

South Alabama improved to 9-4 on the season with a dominant 76-47 road win over Georgia Southern on Saturday. Entering the game as -5.5 favorites, the Jaguars not only secured the win but also covered the spread.

South Alabama took control early, leading 38-18 at halftime. They matched their first-half output with another 38 points in the second half while allowing 29 points. The game’s total points of 123 fell short of the 143.5 over/under line.

Jaguars Offense Breakdown

South Alabama's offense put up 76 points in their last game, shooting 46.3% from the field. They connected on 10 of 24 three-point attempts, hitting 41.7% from deep, with an effective field goal percentage of 55.6%.

The Jaguars also made 16 of 24 free throws, shooting 66.7% from the line. They dished out 17 assists and grabbed 10 offensive rebounds, with Braylhan Thomas, John Broom, Myles Corey, and Judah Brown each contributing 11 points.

Jaguars Team Defense

South Alabama's defense was dominant, giving up just 47 points while holding their opponent to 33% shooting from the field. They limited damage inside, with the other team shooting 47% on 17 two-point attempts.

From beyond the arc, South Alabama's defense was effective, as the other team made just 8 of 31 threes, good for 25%. They also struggled from the free-throw line, hitting only 7 of 15 attempts.

Red Wolves vs Jaguars Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across their ten previous road games, Arkansas State has an ATS mark of 7-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 6-4 while averaging 78 points per game.
Across their ten previous home games, South Alabama has an ATS mark of 7-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 5-5 while averaging 69 points per game.
Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Arkansas State has an ATS mark of 4-1 while going 2-3 straight up.
In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Jaguars have a strong straight up record of 3-0. In addition, their ATS record was 3-0 in these scenarios.