Appalachian State Mountaineers vs Texas State Bobcats Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Texas State vs Appalachian State NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Boone.

Texas State vs Appalachian State Prediction

The Bobcats and Mountaineers are set to face off at 1:00 ET on ESPN+. The Mountaineers will host the game at Holmes Convocation Center in Boone, NC. The over/under for this game is set at 133.5 points, and Appalachian State is favored by -1.5 vs. Texas State in a Sun Belt conference matchup.

Texas State vs. Appalachian State Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: Texas State Bobcats at Appalachian State Mountaineers
Where: Boone at Holmes Convocation Center
Date: Saturday, January 4th
Betting Odds APPLST -1.5, TXST +102 | APPLST -125 O/U 133.5

Bobcats Preview: Can the Bobcats Lock in a Win at Boone?

Texas State fell to 6-6 on the season after a 77-71 road loss to Marshall on Thursday. Entering the game as +1 underdogs, the Bobcats not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game reached 148, surpassing the O/U line of 141.5.

Texas State found themselves down 37-25 at halftime but made a strong push in the 2nd half, scoring 46 points while allowing 40. Despite the comeback effort, they couldn’t close the gap.

Bobcats Offense Breakdown

Texas State's offense put up 71 points in their last game, shooting 49.1% from the field. They were particularly effective inside, hitting 59% of their two-point attempts, though they struggled from beyond the arc, connecting on just 4 of 16 threes (25%). Their effective field goal percentage for the game was 52.7%.

Dezayne Mingo led the way with 23 points and 5 assists, shooting 7 of 10 from the field. Obinna Anochili-Killen added 19 points, hitting 8 of 11 shots. The Bobcats had just 4 assists as a team and grabbed 9 offensive rebounds. They also shot 59.1% from the free-throw line, making 13 of 22 attempts.

Bobcats Team Defense

Texas State's defense struggled, giving up 77 points on 50% shooting from the field. The Bobcats allowed 22 two-point baskets on 39 attempts, a 56% success rate for their opponent.

From beyond the arc, Texas State held their opponent to 4/13 shooting, or 30%. However, they sent them to the free-throw line 33 times, where they converted 21 attempts. The Bobcats also gave up 12 offensive rebounds.

Mountaineers Preview: Will the Mountaineers Defense Show Up at Home?

Appalachian State fell to 4-7 on the season after a 69-61 loss to Troy on Thursday. The Mountaineers were +2.5 point underdogs at home and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 130, just under the O/U line of 132.5.

Appalachian State trailed 33-30 at halftime and couldn’t close the gap in the 2nd half, scoring 31 points while allowing 36.

Mountaineers Offense Breakdown

Appalachian State struggled offensively in their last game, shooting just 37.5% from the field and 30.8% from beyond the arc. Their effective field goal percentage was 44.6%, and they hit 68.8% of their free throws.

Myles Tate led the way with 20 points and 5 assists, despite shooting 36.8% overall and 25% from three. Tayton Conerway was perfect from the field, hitting all 4 of his three-point attempts and finishing with 16 points and 8 assists.

Mountaineers Team Defense

Appalachian State's defense held their opponent to 69 points, with a field goal percentage of 37% (21/56). They limited two-point shooting to 43% (13/30).

From beyond the arc, the opponent shot 30% (8/26). Appalachian State also sent them to the line 16 times, where they made 11 free throws (68%).

Bobcats vs Mountaineers Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across their five previous road games, Texas State has an ATS mark of 2-2-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-3 while averaging 73 points per game.
Through their last three home games, Appalachian State has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 0-3 while averaging 61 points per game.
Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Bobcats have a straight up record of 4-6. But, their mark vs the spread was just 6-3-1.
Over the team's last three games as the favorite, the Mountaineers struggled vs the spread going just 1-2. However, they still had a straight up mark of 2-1.