Toledo Rockets vs Troy Trojans Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Toledo vs Troy NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Troy.

Toledo vs Troy Prediction

Betting on today's Rockets and Trojans game? Catch the action at Trojan Arena in Troy, AL, as the Trojans hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this non-conference contest is set at 154.5 points, with Troy being favored by -6.5 over Toledo.

Toledo vs. Troy Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: Toledo Rockets at Troy Trojans
Where: Troy at Trojan Arena
Date: Monday, November 4th
Betting Odds TROY -6.5, TOLEDO +197 | TROY -246 O/U 154.5

Rockets Preview: Do the Rockets Stand a Chance in Troy?

Toledo Rockets Records

Toledo finished last season with a 20-12 overall record, going 14-5 in Mid-American Conference play. At home, they posted a 12-6 mark, winning by an average of 4.3 points per game, while on the road, they went 8-6 with a +3.3 scoring margin.

Against the spread, the Rockets were 14-18, including a 7-11 home ATS record and a 7-7 mark on the road. They were favored in 22 games, going 16-6 straight-up but just 9-13 ATS. Their average over/under line was 154.6 points, and they had a 17-15 O/U record, with their games averaging 156.1 points.

Rockets Offense Breakdown

Toledo averaged 80 points per game last season, ranking 266th in possessions per game with 68.9. They shot 47% from the field, placing 50th, and had an effective field goal percentage of 53%, ranking 88th. The Rockets made 6.5 three-pointers per game, shooting 37% from beyond the arc, which was 54th nationally. They also ranked 48th in free throws made per game with 16.

Returning for Toledo are Seth Hubbard and Javan Simmons. Hubbard averaged 14.1 points, 3.4 rebounds, and 1.6 assists per game last season, while Simmons contributed 12.2 points, 5 rebounds, and 1.5 assists per game.

Rockets Team Defense

Last season, Toledo allowed 76.1 points per game, ranking 275th in the nation. Opponents shot 34.2% from beyond the arc against them, placing the Rockets 350th in 3-point percentage defense. They were more disciplined in terms of fouling, giving up 15.6 free throws per game, which ranked 58th nationally.

Toledo averaged 7.2 steals per game, ranking 102nd in the country. However, they struggled in blocking shots, averaging just 2 per game, which was 360th in the nation.

Trojans Preview: Can the Trojans Secure a Win at Home?

Troy Trojans Records

Troy finished last season with a 17-12 overall record, including a 13-6 mark in Sun Belt play. At home, the Trojans were 12-3, winning by an average of 9.6 points per game. On the road, they went 5-9, with a scoring margin of -1.1 points per game.

Against the spread, Troy posted an 18-11 record, going 11-4 at home and 7-7 on the road. As the favorite, they were 15-5 straight-up and 13-7 ATS. Their average over/under line was 146.5 points, and they had a 16-13 O/U record, with their games averaging 149.6 points per game.

Trojans Offense Breakdown

Last season, Troy averaged 79.6 points per game, ranking 61st in possessions per game with 67. They shot 44% from the field, placing 256th, and had an effective field goal percentage of 51%, ranking 207th. The Trojans made 8.6 three-pointers per game, shooting 35% from deep, and ranked 17th in free throws made per game with 17.2.

Returning for Troy are Tayton Conerway and Myles Rigsby. Conerway averaged 11.8 points, 2.5 assists, and 2.8 rebounds per game last season, while Rigsby contributed 11.3 points, 1.5 assists, and 4.3 rebounds per game.

Trojans Team Defense

Last season, Troy allowed 70.7 points per game, ranking 127th in the nation. They held opponents to 31.7% shooting from beyond the arc, which was 176th in the country. Troy also struggled with fouling, giving up 20.5 free throws per game, placing them 257th nationally.

On the defensive end, Troy excelled in steals, averaging 10.4 per game, ranking 4th in the nation. They also averaged 3.2 blocked shots per game, placing them 198th nationally.

Rockets vs Trojans Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

In their last five games away from home, the Rockets have a straight up record of 3-2 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team averaged 89 points per game in this stretch.
When looking at their past three home matchups, Troy has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 83 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
Looking back on the team's last three games as the underdog, the Rockets have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-1.
As the betting favorite, the Trojans have an ATS mark of just 0-3 in their last three games. Troy posted a straight up mark of 1-2 in these matchups.