SMU Mustangs vs Tarleton State Texans Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Tarleton State vs SMU NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Dallas.

Tarleton State vs SMU Prediction

Betting on today's Texans and Mustangs game? Catch the action at Moody Coliseum in Dallas, TX, as the Mustangs hosts this showdown at 8:30 ET on ACC. This non-conference matchup has an over/under of 143.5 points, and SMU is favored by -14.5 vs. Tarleton State.

Tarleton State vs. SMU Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: Tarleton State Texans at SMU Mustangs
Where: Dallas at Moody Coliseum
Date: Monday, November 4th
Betting Odds SMU -14.5, TARL +772 | SMU -1867 O/U 143.5

Texans Preview: Can Tarleton State Pull Off A Win at Moody Coliseum?

Tarleton State Texans Records

Tarleton State finished last season with a 20-9 overall record, going 16-5 in conference play. At home, they posted a 10-4 record with an average scoring margin of +5.6 points per game. On the road, they went 10-5, but their average scoring margin was -2.6 points per game.

Against the spread, the Texans were 18-11, including a 10-5 mark in road games. They were 12-4 straight-up as the favorite and 9-7 ATS. As the underdog, they went 8-5 straight-up and 9-4 ATS. Their games averaged 142.3 points, and their over/under record was 18-11, with an average line of 138.7 points.

Texans Offense Breakdown

Tarleton State averaged 73.5 points per game last season, but they played at a slower pace, ranking 355th in possessions per game (62.1). Their field goal percentage was 45% (155th), and their effective field goal percentage was 50% (250th). They made 5.6 three-pointers per game, shooting 32% from beyond the arc, ranking 333rd and 315th, respectively.

Freddy Hicks is the top returning player for the Texans, having averaged 11.3 points, 5.2 rebounds, and 2 assists per game last season. Dantwan Grimes also returns after averaging 4.7 points in 12 games.

Texans Team Defense

Tarleton State allowed 68.7 points per game last season, ranking 80th in the nation. Opponents shot 30.2% from beyond the arc against them, placing the Texans 105th in three-point defense. They gave up 18.1 free throws per game, ranking 161st nationally.

Tarleton State also averaged 8.9 steals per game, ranking 19th in the country, and recorded 3.6 blocked shots per game, placing them 143rd.

Mustangs Preview: Will the Mustangs Make it Happen at Home?

SMU Mustangs Records

SMU finished last season with a 19-12 overall record, going 11-8 in conference play. At home, they were 13-4, with a +12.0 average scoring margin. On the road, they posted a 6-8 record, with a +3.6 margin.

Against the spread, the Mustangs were 14-16, and they went 11-11 as the favorite. As underdogs, they were 1-7 straight-up. Their over/under record was 13-18, with an average O/U line of 144.8 points and a 144.1 average combined score.

Mustangs Offense Breakdown

SMU averaged 76.3 points per game last season, ranking 31st in possessions per game with 66.1. They shot 44% from the field, placing 201st in field goal percentage, and had an effective field goal percentage of 50%, ranking 222nd. The Mustangs made 7.5 three-pointers per game, shooting 33% from beyond the arc, which was 225th nationally.

Kevin Miller, who averaged 15.2 points, 3.6 assists, and 2.8 rebounds per game last season, returns for the Mustangs. Yohan Traore also returns after averaging 14.5 points and 5.1 rebounds per game last year.

Mustangs Team Defense

SMU allowed 67.8 points per game last season, ranking 65th in the nation. Opponents shot 31.2% from three-point range against them, placing the Mustangs 155th in three-point defense. They also gave up 19 free throws per game, ranking 202nd in that category.

SMU averaged 8.5 steals per game, ranking 33rd nationally, and blocked 4.9 shots per game, placing them 25th in that category.

Texans vs Mustangs Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

When looking at their past three road matchups, Tarleton State has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 84 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
Through their last five home games, SMU has an ATS record of just 1-4. However, their overall record was 1-4 while averaging 77 points per game.
In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Texans have a strong straight up record of 3-0. In addition, their ATS record was 3-0 in these scenarios.
Looking back on the team's last ten games as the favorite, the Mustangs have a straight up record of 7-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-7.