Liberty Flames vs Valparaiso Beacons Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Valparaiso vs Liberty NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Xenia.

Valparaiso vs Liberty Prediction

Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Beacons versus the Flames? Tip off is at at 5:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on tota. The game will be played at John Wooden Family Fieldhouse in Xenia, OH. The odds for this non-conference game currently have Liberty as the -10 favorite, with the over/under line sitting at 138.5 points.

Valparaiso vs. Liberty Matchup At A Glance

  • Sport: NCAAB
  • Teams: Valparaiso Beacons at Liberty Flames
  • Where: Xenia at John Wooden Family Fieldhouse
  • Date: Monday, November 4th
  • Betting Odds LIBRTY -10, VALP +378 | LIBRTY -535 O/U 138.5

Beacons Preview: Are Valparaiso Ready for a Road Win?

Valparaiso Beacons Records

Valparaiso finished last season with a 6-25 overall record, going 3-18 in Missouri Valley Conference play. At home, they posted a 5-11 record, with an average scoring margin of -7.2 points per game. On the road, they went 1-14, losing by an average of 11.8 points per contest.

Against the spread, the Beacons were 16-14, including an impressive 11-3 mark in road games. As the underdog, they went 3-22 straight-up but managed a 13-11 record ATS. Their games averaged 142.5 points, and they had an over/under record of 16-15.

Beacons Offense Breakdown

Valparaiso Beacons Offense Stats

Valparaiso averaged 67.6 points per game last season, ranking 85th in possessions per game with 66.5. Their offensive efficiency was a concern, as they shot 40% from the field, placing 371st nationally. Their effective field goal percentage was 46%, ranking 369th, and they were 381st in two-point shooting at 45%.

The Beacons made 7.3 three-pointers per game, ranking 200th, and attempted 22.4 per game, placing 157th. They shot 32% from beyond the arc, ranking 287th. Valparaiso also struggled at the free-throw line, making 10.5 per game, ranking 349th.

Valparaiso Beacons Top Returning Offensive Players

Isaiah Stafford: G
  • Games: 29 (Last Year)
  • PPG: 16.9 (Last Year)
  • Assists: 2.1 (Last Year)
  • Rebounds: 3.7 (Last Year)
Cooper Schwieger: F
  • Games: 31 (Last Year)
  • PPG: 13.2 (Last Year)
  • Assists: 1 (Last Year)
  • Rebounds: 5.4 (Last Year)

Beacons Team Defense

Valparaiso struggled defensively last season, allowing 75.5 points per game, which ranked 259th in the nation. Opponents shot 36.5% from beyond the arc against the Beacons, placing them 423rd in 3-point percentage defense. They were better at limiting free throws, giving up 17.5 per game, which ranked 133rd nationally.

Valparaiso averaged 6.2 steals per game, ranking 226th in the country, and they were 157th in blocked shots, with 3.5 per game.

Flames Preview: Will the Flames Win at Home?

Liberty Flames Records

Liberty finished last season with a 15-14 overall record, going 7-10 in Conference USA play. At home, the Flames were 13-6 with a +7.6 average scoring margin, but they struggled on the road, posting a 2-8 record and a -5.3 average margin.

Against the spread, Liberty went 12-17, including a 1-9 mark in road games. They were favored in 26 games, finishing 15-11 straight-up and 12-14 ATS. Their games averaged 139.8 points, and they had a 15-13-1 over/under record, with an average line of 137.6 points.

Flames Offense Breakdown

Liberty Flames Offense Stats

Liberty averaged 73.8 points per game last season, ranking 325th in possessions per game with 62. They shot 46% from the field, placing 92nd, and had an effective field goal percentage of 55%, ranking 45th. The Flames were 11th in three-pointers made per game with 10.1, shooting 36% from beyond the arc. They attempted 27.5 threes per game, ranking 19th. Liberty struggled at the free-throw line, making 9.8 per game, ranking 357th.

Liberty Flames Top Returning Offensive Players

Guard Kaden Metheny returns after averaging 13.4 points, 2.7 assists, and 3.4 rebounds per game last season. Forward Zach Cleveland also returns, having averaged 11.9 points, 4 assists, and 6.2 rebounds per game.

Flames Team Defense

Liberty was one of the top defensive teams in the country last season, allowing just 65.5 points per game, which ranked 24th in the nation. They also held opponents to 28.7% shooting from beyond the arc, placing them 61st in 3-point defense. Liberty gave up 15.2 free throws per game, ranking 45th nationally.

However, the Flames struggled to create turnovers, averaging only 5.2 steals per game, which ranked 328th in the nation. They also averaged 2.3 blocks per game, placing them 333rd in that category.

Beacons vs Flames Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

  • Valparaiso has a 0-3 record in their last three road games. In this stretch, they averaged 61 points per game while allowing 78. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • Through their last five home games, Liberty has an ATS record of just 0-5. However, their overall record was 1-4 while averaging 69 points per game.
  • Looking back on the team's last ten games as the underdog, the Beacons have a straight up record of 1-9. Their record vs the spread in these games was 5-5.
  • The last five games that Liberty was favored, they have an ATS mark of 1-4 while going 2-3 straight up.

Valparaiso vs Liberty Prediction & Free Pick

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