Check out our free Pacers vs Heat prediction for this NBA matchup in Miami. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this regular season NBA matchup.
- The Pacers face the Heat at 16-18.
- Indiana has an effective field goal percentage of 55% (7th).
- The Pacers are looking to bounce back from a loss to the Heat.
- The Heat will be hosting the Pacers and hold a 17-14 record.
- The Heat are averaging 111.3 points per game so far.
- The Heat are coming off a 119-108 win vs. the Pacers.
Pacers vs Heat Prediction
At 7:30 ET, the Miami Heat will host the Indiana Pacers in an Eastern Conference matchup. The Heat (-121) are favored by 1.5 points over the Pacers (+101). The over/under line for the game is currently set at 224.5 points.
Miami (17-14) is currently on a two-game winning streak and sits in 6th place in the Eastern Conference. The Pacers (16-18) are 8th in the East and 3rd in the Central Division.

Pacers vs. Heat Matchup At A Glance
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Indiana Pacers at Miami Heat
- Where: Miami at Kaseya Center
- Date: Thursday, January 2nd
- Betting Odds MIA -1.5, IND +101 | MIA -121 O/U 224.5
Pacers Preview: Will the Pacers Win in Miami?
The Pacers fell to 16-18 on the season after a 120-112 home loss to the Bucks on Tuesday. Indiana, who entered the game as +2 point underdogs, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game ended at 232, just over the pre-game line of 230.
After taking control in the 2nd quarter, outscoring Milwaukee 36-23, the Pacers couldn’t hold on. The Bucks went on a decisive 12-0 run, extending their lead from 83-66 to 95-66, and outscored Indiana 32-21 in the 4th quarter.
Bennedict Mathurin led the Pacers with 25 points and 9 rebounds in their 120-112 loss to the Bucks, shooting 55.6% from the field and hitting 3 threes at a 60% clip. Pascal Siakam added 20 points and 7 rebounds, while Myles Turner contributed 16 points and 10 boards.
As a team, the Pacers shot 44.4% from the field and made 13 threes at 35.1%. Mathurin scored 10 points in the 4th quarter, while Siakam added just 1 point in the final period.
Defensively, the Pacers had a strong 2nd quarter, holding the Bucks to 23 points, but they gave up 35 in the 3rd and 32 in the 4th, leading to a 120-112 loss. Indiana allowed Milwaukee to shoot 46% from the field.
The Pacers limited the Bucks to 12 made threes on 36% shooting. Milwaukee went 18/24 from the free-throw line. Indiana recorded 41 defensive rebounds, gave up 13 offensive boards, and added 8 steals and 7 blocks.
Heat Preview: Can the Heat Secure a Win at Home?
The Pacers fell to 16-18 on the season after a 120-112 loss to the Bucks on Tuesday. Playing at home, Indiana entered the game as +2 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total score of 232 points narrowly exceeded the over/under line of 230.
Indiana took control in the 2nd quarter, outscoring Milwaukee 36-23, but the Bucks responded with a 12-0 run, extending their lead from 83-66 to 95-66. The Pacers entered the 4th quarter with a 91-88 lead but were outscored 32-21 in the final period.
Tyler Herro led the Heat to a 119-108 win over the Pelicans, hitting 5 threes and finishing with 32 points, 12 of which came in the 3rd quarter. Miami connected on 14 threes, shooting 41.2% from deep and 53% overall.
Bam Adebayo added 23 points, 12 of which came in the 4th quarter, and Duncan Robinson contributed 17 points, including 9 in the 3rd. Robinson also hit 3 threes, shooting 42.9% from beyond the arc.
Despite giving up 32 points in the 4th quarter, the Heat held the Pelicans to 108 points in their win on Wednesday. Miami allowed 24 points in the 1st quarter, 27 in the 2nd, and 25 in the 3rd.
Even with New Orleans shooting 50% from the field, the Heat limited them to 9 made threes on 26% shooting. Miami also gave up 22 free throws, with the Pelicans making 19. The Heat grabbed 33 defensive rebounds, allowing 5 offensive boards, and recorded 6 steals.
Pacers vs Heat Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis
- Indiana has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 113 points per game while allowing 120. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
- Across the Heat last ten home games, the team averaged 107 points per game while allowing 110. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 3-7, while going 4-6 straight-up.
- Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Pacers have a straight up record of 1-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-2.
- Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Heat have gone 5-5 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 7-3.
Pacers vs Heat Prediction
- KnupSports.com Free Betting Pick: Over 224.5 Be sure to check out our other NBA Basketball betting previews for this week. KnupSports.com also updates their sports betting picks page daily with plays across all sports.