Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Heat vs Rockets prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Houston.
- The Heat face the Rockets at 15-14.
- The Heat are averaging 111.3 points per game so far.
- The Heat are looking to bounce back from a loss to the Rockets.
- The Rockets are sitting at 21-10.
- Houston has an effective field goal percentage of 50% (29th).
- The Rockets are looking to bounce back from a loss to the Heat.
Heat vs Rockets Prediction
At 7:00 ET, the Miami Heat will travel to the Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets in a non-conference matchup. The Rockets are currently favored by 8 points and are 21-10 on the season, which is good for 3rd in the Western Conference. On the other side, the Heat are 15-14 and 7th in the Eastern Conference.
This game will be shown on SCHN and the over/under line is currently set at 216.5 points.

Heat vs. Rockets Matchup At A Glance
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Miami Heat at Houston Rockets
- Where: Houston at Toyota Center
- Date: Sunday, December 29th
- Betting Odds HOU -8, MIA +263 | HOU -328 O/U 216.5
Heat Preview: Do the Heat Stand a Chance on the Road?
The Heat dropped to 15-14 on the season after a 120-110 road loss to the Hawks on Saturday. Miami entered the game as +1 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game reached 230, just over the 227.5-point line.
Miami fell behind early, trailing 35-28 after the 1st quarter. They outscored Atlanta 30-26 in the 2nd quarter but couldn’t sustain the momentum. The Hawks pulled away in the 3rd, outscoring the Heat 32-26, and Miami couldn’t close the gap in the 4th, where they were outscored 27-26.
Tyler Herro led the Heat with 28 points, 10 assists, and 7 rebounds in their 120-110 loss to the Hawks, shooting 53.3% from the field and hitting 4 threes at a 57.1% rate. Bam Adebayo added 17 points and 10 rebounds, while Duncan Robinson contributed 16 points, knocking down 4 threes at 40% efficiency.
Miami connected on 13 threes as a team, shooting 31.7% from beyond the arc and 44.4% overall. Herro scored 11 points in the 3rd quarter, and Robinson added 11 of his own in the 2nd.
Defensively, the Heat struggled against the Hawks, allowing 120 points on 51% shooting. They gave up 35 points in the 1st quarter but tightened up in the 2nd, allowing 26. The Hawks scored 32 in the 3rd and 27 in the 4th.
From beyond the arc, the Heat allowed 15 threes on 40% shooting. Atlanta went 17/22 from the free-throw line. Miami gave up 9 offensive rebounds while recording 9 steals and 4 blocks.
Rockets Preview: Will Houston Win at Home?
The Heat dropped to 15-14 on the season after a 120-110 road loss to the Hawks on Saturday. Miami entered the game as +1 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 230, just over the pre-game line of 227.5.
Miami fell behind early, trailing 35-28 after the 1st quarter. They responded in the 2nd, outscoring Atlanta 30-26, but the Hawks took control again in the 3rd, extending their lead to 93-84. Miami couldn’t mount a comeback in the 4th, as they were outscored 27-26.
Alperen Şengün shined in the Rockets' 113-112 loss to the Timberwolves, scoring 38 points and grabbing 12 rebounds while shooting 64% from the field. Amen Thompson contributed 20 points and 11 rebounds, hitting 75% of his shots. Fred VanVleet added 18 points, knocking down 5 threes at a 50% rate, despite shooting just 37.5% overall.
Houston connected on 10 threes, shooting 33.3% from deep, and finished with a 48.9% field goal percentage. Şengün scored 12 points in the 2nd quarter and added 10 more in the 3rd, while VanVleet chipped in 9 points in the 3rd period.
Despite a strong defensive effort in the 1st and 3rd quarters, the Rockets couldn’t hold off the Timberwolves, giving up 37 points in the 4th to lose 113-112. Houston allowed Minnesota to shoot 50% from the field.
The Rockets struggled to defend the three-point line, where the Timberwolves hit 21 threes at a 48% clip. Houston sent Minnesota to the line 16 times, where they made 8 free throws. The Rockets finished with 7 steals and 3 blocks.
Heat vs Rockets Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis
- Across the Heat last five road games, the team averaged 105 points per game while allowing 112. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-4, while going 1-4 straight-up.
- When looking at their past ten home matchups, Houston has an ATS record of 6-4 while averaging 111 per game. The team went 6-4 overall in these games.
- Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Heat have gone 1-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.
- In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Rockets have a strong straight up record of 4-1. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.
Heat vs Rockets Prediction
- KnupSports.com Free Betting Pick: Over 216.5 Be sure to check out our other NBA Basketball betting previews for this week. KnupSports.com also updates their sports betting picks page daily with plays across all sports.