In this NBA regular season preview between Heat and Warriors, see who like to win the game and cover the spread.
- The Heat have a road matchup with Golden State at 17-17.
- Miami has an effective field goal percentage of 53% (18th).
- The Heat are looking to bounce back from a loss to the Warriors.
- The Warriors' record sits at 18-17.
- The Warriors are averaging 112.2 points per game so far.
- The Warriors are looking to bounce back from a loss to the Heat.
Heat vs Warriors Prediction
At 10:00 ET, the Miami Heat will travel to take on the Golden State Warriors in a non-conference matchup. The Warriors (-418) are favored by 9.5 points over the Heat (+323), and the over/under line is set at 218 points.
Golden State is 18-17 and currently sits 8th in the Western Conference, while Miami is 17-17 and 9th in the East. The Heat have lost three straight games.

Heat vs. Warriors Matchup At A Glance
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors
- Where: San Francisco at Chase Center
- Date: Tuesday, January 7th
- Betting Odds GS -9.5, MIA +323 | GS -418 O/U 218
Heat Preview: Will Miami Make it Happen on the Road?
Miami fell to 17-17 on the season after a 123-118 road loss to the Kings on Monday. The Heat entered the game as +4 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total score of 241 points went well over the pre-game line of 217.5.
After an 11-0 run, Miami took the lead from 76-68 to 79-76, but they couldn’t hold on. The Heat were outscored 34-24 in the 4th quarter, allowing the Kings to come back and take the win.
Tyler Herro led the Heat with 26 points, hitting 4 threes at 40% efficiency in their loss to the Kings. Miami struggled from deep, shooting just 26.2% and making 11 threes overall, while finishing with a 42.2% field goal percentage.
Herro scored 12 points in the 1st quarter, while Terry Rozier and Bam Adebayo each added 18 points, with Rozier putting up 9 in the 3rd. Jaime Jaquez contributed 8 of his 16 points in the 4th quarter.
Defensively, the Heat were solid in the 1st and 3rd quarters but struggled in the 4th, giving up 34 points in a 123-118 loss to the Kings. Overall, they allowed Sacramento to shoot 41% from the field.
From beyond the arc, Miami held the Kings to 13 made threes on 34% shooting. The Heat also sent Sacramento to the line 26 times, where they hit 20 free throws. Miami finished with 14 steals and 6 blocks.
Warriors Preview: Can the Warriors Grab a Win at Home?
Miami fell to 17-17 on the season after a 123-118 road loss to the Kings on Monday. The Heat entered the game as +4 underdogs and failed to cover the spread, while the total score of 241 points exceeded the pre-game O/U line of 217.5 by 23.5 points.
Miami led 78-68 going into the 4th quarter after a strong 3rd, where they outscored Sacramento 31-18. However, the Kings responded with a 34-24 4th quarter to seal the win. An 11-0 run by Miami briefly gave them the lead, but they couldn’t hold on.
In Sunday's loss to the Kings, the Warriors managed just 99 points, with Stephen Curry leading the way, scoring 26 points on 66.7% shooting, including 4 threes at 50% accuracy. Andrew Wiggins added 18 points, and Moses Moody contributed 13, hitting 3 threes at 50%.
Golden State hit 12 threes, shooting 34.3% from deep and 45.7% overall. Curry scored 15 points in the 2nd quarter, while Moody put up 7 points in the 4th.
The Warriors struggled defensively against the Kings, giving up 129 points on 51% shooting. Sacramento scored 36 points in the 1st quarter and 39 in the 2nd, putting Golden State in a big hole early. The Warriors allowed 30 points in the 3rd quarter and 24 in the 4th.
Golden State had trouble defending the three, as the Kings hit 19 threes at a 44% clip. Sacramento also went 20/22 from the free-throw line. The Warriors gave up 10 offensive rebounds but did come up with 10 steals.
Heat vs Warriors Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis
- Across their five previous road games, Miami has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-3 while averaging 107 points per game.
- When looking at their past five home matchups, Golden State has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 100 per game. The team went 1-4 overall in these games.
- Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Heat have a straight up record of 4-6. But, their mark vs the spread was just 4-6.
- Across their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Warriors have an overall record of 3-2 while going 2-3 against the spread.
Heat vs Warriors Prediction
- KnupSports.com Free Betting Pick: Heat +9.5 Be sure to check out our other NBA Basketball betting previews for this week. KnupSports.com also updates their sports betting picks page daily with plays across all sports.