Florida State Seminoles vs Northern Kentucky Norse Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Northern Kentucky vs Florida State NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Tallahassee.

Northern Kentucky vs Florida State Prediction

Betting on today's Norse and Seminoles game? Catch the action at Donald L. Tucker Center in Tallahassee, FL, as the Seminoles hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ACC. The over/under for this non-conference contest is set at 146.5 points, with Florida State being favored by -8 over Northern Kentucky.

Northern Kentucky vs. Florida State Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: Northern Kentucky Norse at Florida State Seminoles
Where: Tallahassee at Donald L. Tucker Center
Date: Monday, November 4th
Betting Odds FLST -8, NKENT +274 | FLST -351 O/U 146.5

Norse Preview: Can the Norse Pull the Upset on the Road?

Northern Kentucky Norse Records

Last season, Northern Kentucky finished with a 16-15 overall record, going 13-9 in Horizon League play. At home, they posted a 10-4 record with an average scoring margin of +7.4 points per game. On the road, they went 6-11, with a -6.0 scoring margin.

Against the spread, the Norse were 16-15, with a 10-7 road ATS record. They were 12-2 straight-up when favored and 7-7 ATS. As underdogs, they went 4-13 straight-up and 9-8 ATS. Their over/under record was 17-14, with an average O/U line of 144.8 points and an average game score of 147.7 points.

Norse Offense Breakdown

Last season, Northern Kentucky averaged 74.8 points per game, with 66.9 possessions per game, ranking 140th in pace. They shot 45% from the field, placing 142nd, and had an effective field goal percentage of 51%, ranking 213th. The Norse made 6.3 three-pointers per game, shooting 31% from beyond the arc, which was 328th nationally.

Returning guard Trey Robinson, who averaged 11.7 points and 7 rebounds per game last season, will be a key player for Northern Kentucky. Forward LJ Wells, who contributed 8.7 points and 5.5 rebounds per game, also returns for the Norse.

Norse Team Defense

Last season, Northern Kentucky allowed 73.2 points per game, ranking 210th in the nation. However, they were strong in defending the three-point line, holding opponents to 29.7% shooting, which was 84th in the country. They also limited free throws, allowing 16.2 per game, ranking 79th nationally.

The Norse averaged 8.6 steals per game, placing them 29th in the nation, but they struggled in blocking shots, averaging just 2.6 per game, ranking 305th.

Seminoles Preview: Will the Seminoles Find a Way to Win at Home?

Florida State Seminoles Records

Florida State finished last season with a 17-16 record, going 11-11 in ACC play. At home, they posted an 11-7 mark, while they were 6-9 on the road.

Against the spread, the Seminoles were 16-16, with a 9-8 record at home and 7-8 on the road. They were 8-7 ATS as the favorite and 8-9 as the underdog. Their games averaged 152.8 points, and they had a 21-11-1 O/U record.

Seminoles Offense Breakdown

Florida State Seminoles Offense Stats

Last season, Florida State averaged 76.5 points per game, ranking 77th in possessions per game at 70.6. The Seminoles shot 45% from the field, placing 149th, with an effective field goal percentage of 50%, ranking 241st. They made 6.1 three-pointers per game on 19.1 attempts, shooting 31% from beyond the arc, which ranked 357th. They were more successful at the free-throw line, making 15.8 per game, good for 62nd.

Florida State Seminoles Top Returning Offensive Players

Jamir Watkins returns after averaging 15.6 points, 6 rebounds, and 2.8 assists in 33 games last season. Bostyn Holt also returns, having averaged 12.3 points, 4.5 rebounds, and 3.1 assists in 32 games.

Seminoles Team Defense

Florida State allowed 76.3 points per game last season, ranking 278th in the nation, and opponents shot 35.2% from three-point range against them, which ranked 394th. They also gave up 23.5 free-throw attempts per game, placing them 316th in that category.

However, the Seminoles were 11th in the nation in steals, averaging 9.3 per game, and they blocked 4.2 shots per game, ranking 65th.

Norse vs Seminoles Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Northern Kentucky has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 85 points per game while allowing 83. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-0.
Through their last five home games, Florida State has an ATS record of just 1-4. However, their overall record was 1-4 while averaging 73 points per game.
Looking back on the team's last three games as the underdog, the Norse have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-0.
In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Seminoles have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.