Evansville Aces vs North Texas Mean Green Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Evansville vs North Texas NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Denton.

Evansville vs North Texas Prediction

Planning on watching today's Aces and Mean Green game? Catch the action at UNT Coliseum in Denton, TX, as the Mean Green hosts this showdown at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The odds for this non-conference game currently have North Texas as the -13.5 favorite, with the over/under line sitting at 134.5 points.

Evansville vs. North Texas Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: Evansville Aces at North Texas Mean Green
Where: Denton at UNT Coliseum
Date: Tuesday, November 5th
Betting Odds NTX -13.5, EVANS +591 | NTX -950 O/U 134.5

Aces Preview: Can the Aces Pull the Upset on the Road?

Evansville Aces Records

Last season, Evansville finished with a 15-17 overall record, going 7-15 in Missouri Valley Conference play. At home, they posted a 9-5 record, with an average scoring margin of +2.4 points. On the road, they went 6-12, losing by an average of 9.6 points per game.

Against the spread, the Aces were 17-15, including a 10-8 mark on the road. They were 5-1 straight-up when favored and went 3-3 ATS in those games. As underdogs, they were 14-12 ATS. Their average over/under line was 145.1 points, and they had a 12-20 O/U record, with their games averaging 144.6 points.

Aces Offense Breakdown

Evansville averaged 71.5 points per game last season, ranking 178th in possessions per game (67.1). They shot 44% from the field, placing 209th, and their effective field goal percentage was 50%, ranking 248th. The Aces made 6.8 three-pointers per game, shooting 33% from beyond the arc, which ranked 230th.

Returning guards Tayshawn Comer and Tanner Cuff will be key for Evansville. Comer averaged 7.8 points, 3 assists, and 2.5 rebounds per game last season, while Cuff contributed 7.3 points, 2.2 assists, and 4.1 rebounds per game.

Aces Team Defense

Evansville allowed 73.6 points per game last season, ranking 217th in the nation. Opponents shot 34.7% from three-point range against them, placing the Aces 372nd in that category. They were better at limiting free throws, giving up 15.9 per game, which ranked 67th nationally.

Evansville averaged 6.3 steals per game, ranking 198th in the country. They also recorded 3.1 blocked shots per game, placing them 220th nationally.

Mean Green Preview: Does North Texas Have What it Takes to Win as Home Favorites?

North Texas Mean Green Records

North Texas finished last season with a 16-14 overall record, going 11-9 in conference play. At home, they posted a 10-7 record, winning by an average of 6.4 points per game. On the road, they went 6-7, with a scoring margin of +2.3 points per game.

The Mean Green were 17-13 against the spread and 15-4 straight-up when favored. As underdogs, they struggled, going 1-10 straight-up. Their average over/under line was 130.1 points, and they had a 16-13-1 O/U record, with their games averaging 132.2 points per contest.

Mean Green Offense Breakdown

North Texas averaged 69.1 points per game last season, ranking 348th in possessions per game with 58.9. They shot 43% from the field (280th) and had an effective field goal percentage of 50% (225th). The Mean Green struggled inside, shooting 47% on two-pointers (351st), but they made 8.3 threes per game, ranking 100th, and shot 37% from beyond the arc (57th).

Atin Wright and Latrell Jossell are the top returning players for North Texas. Wright averaged 13.9 points, 2 assists, and 2.3 rebounds per game last season, while Jossell contributed 12.9 points, 2.3 assists, and 2 rebounds per game.

Mean Green Team Defense

North Texas was one of the best defensive teams in the country last season, allowing just 63.1 points per game, which ranked 12th nationally. However, they struggled to defend the three-point line, giving up 30.9% shooting from beyond the arc, ranking 138th in the nation. They also allowed 19.6 free throws per game, ranking 228th in that category.

The Mean Green averaged 7 steals per game, ranking 126th in the country, and blocked 3 shots per game, which ranked 239th nationally.

Aces vs Mean Green Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

When looking at their past five road matchups, Evansville has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 65 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
Across their last five home contests, North Texas has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-2. Their overall mark in these games was 3-2, while averaging 72 points per game.
In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Aces have a straight up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 2-3.
As the betting favorite, the Mean Green have an ATS record of 3-0 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 3-0.