Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Saint Francis U vs Dayton NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Dayton.
Saint Francis U vs Dayton Prediction
Looking to win big? The Red Flash and Flyers face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Flyers are hosting the game at UD Arena in Dayton, OH. The odds for this non-conference game currently have Dayton as the -26 favorite, with the over/under line sitting at 136.5 points.
Saint Francis U vs. Dayton Matchup At A Glance
- Sport: NCAAB
- Teams: Saint Francis U Red Flash at Dayton Flyers
- Where: Dayton at UD Arena
- Date: Monday, November 4th
- Betting Odds DAY -26, STFPA +1950 | DAY -6642 O/U 136.5
Red Flash Preview: Will the Red Flash Defense Show Up in Dayton?
Saint Francis U Red Flash Records
Saint Francis U finished last season with a 6-22 overall record, including a 3-14 mark in Northeast Conference play. At home, they went 4-9, with an average scoring margin of -5.2 points per game. On the road, they struggled, posting a 2-13 record and a -15.0 average scoring margin.
Against the spread, the Red Flash went 11-17, including a 7-8 record in road games. They were favored in two games, winning and covering both. As underdogs, they went 4-22 straight-up and 9-17 ATS. Their average over/under line was 138.2 points, and they had a 10-18 O/U record, with their games averaging 137 points per contest.
Red Flash Offense Breakdown
Saint Francis U averaged 65.2 points per game last season, ranking 192nd in possessions per game (63.2). They struggled with shooting, finishing 330th in field goal percentage (42%) and 337th in effective field goal percentage (48%). Their 2-point percentage was particularly low, ranking 365th at 47%.
The Red Flash made 6.4 three-pointers per game, shooting 33% from beyond the arc, and they ranked 328th in free throws made per game (11.2). Bobby Rosenberger III, who averaged 9 points and 4.8 rebounds per game last season, is their top returning player, while Gestin Liberis contributed 5.8 points and 3.7 rebounds per game.
Red Flash Team Defense
Saint Francis U allowed 72.7 points per game last season, ranking 192nd in the nation. Opponents shot 34.1% from three-point range against them, which was 345th in the country. They also gave up 18.8 free throws per game, ranking 195th.
In terms of defensive stats, the Red Flash averaged 5.9 steals per game, placing them 267th nationally. They also blocked 3.6 shots per game, ranking 141st in the country.
Flyers Preview: Can the Flyers Hold Strong at Home?
Dayton Flyers Records
Dayton finished last season with a 24-7 overall record, going 14-5 in Atlantic 10 play. At home, they were dominant, posting a 17-1 record with an average scoring margin of +12.5 points per game. On the road, they were 7-6, with a +2.8 points per game margin.
The Flyers were 15-15 against the spread (ATS) and 18-12-1 on over/unders, with their games averaging 141 points. As the favorite, they were 22-5 straight-up but just 13-14 ATS. They went 2-2 straight-up as the underdog.
Flyers Offense Breakdown
Dayton Flyers Offense Stats
Last season, Dayton averaged 74.7 points per game, ranking 304th in possessions per game with 62.9. They shot 47% from the field, placing 60th nationally, and had an effective field goal percentage of 56%, good for 33rd. The Flyers made 9.5 three-pointers per game, ranking 22nd, and shot 40% from beyond the arc, placing 34th.
Dayton Flyers Top Returning Offensive Players
Dayton returns Nate Santos, who averaged 12 points and 6.4 rebounds per game last season. Posh Alexander also returns, having averaged 11.2 points, 4.9 assists, and 4.5 rebounds per game.
Flyers Team Defense
Dayton was one of the better defensive teams in the country last season, allowing just 66.3 points per game, which ranked 34th in the nation. They were also disciplined, giving up only 12.9 free throws per game, the 14th-fewest in the country.
Opponents shot 31.6% from three-point range against the Flyers, placing them 169th in that category. Dayton averaged 5.4 steals per game, ranking 313th, and 4 blocks per game, which was 89th in the nation.
Red Flash vs Flyers Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis
- In their last three games away from home, the Red Flash have a straight up record of 0-3 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team's offense averaged 66 points per game in these contests.
- Across their five previous home games, Dayton has an ATS mark of 1-4. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-4 while averaging 70 points per game.
- Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Red Flash have a straight up record of 1-9. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-5.
- As the betting favorite, the Flyers have an ATS mark of just 4-6 in their last ten games. Dayton posted a straight up mark of 6-4 in these matchups.
Saint Francis U vs Dayton Prediction & Free Pick
- KnupSports.com Free Betting Prediction: Saint Francis U +26 Be sure to check out our other NCAA Basketball betting previews for this week. KnupSports.com also updates their sports betting picks page daily with plays across all sports.