California-San Diego Tritons vs San Diego State Aztecs Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our California-San Diego vs San Diego State NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in San Diego.

California-San Diego vs San Diego State Prediction

Don't miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Tritons and Aztecs. The game is starting at 10:00 ET on MWN, and it's hosted by the Aztecs at Viejas Arena in San Diego, CA. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this game is set at 143.5 points, and San Diego State is favored by -11.5 against California-San Diego in a non-conference matchup.

California-San Diego vs. San Diego State Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: California-San Diego Tritons at San Diego State Aztecs
Where: San Diego at Viejas Arena
Date: Wednesday, November 6th
Betting Odds SDST -11.5, UCSD +460 | SDST -665 O/U 143.5

Tritons Preview: Is a Win at San Diego Possible for the Tritons?

California-San Diego Tritons Records

Last season, the Tritons finished with a 19-11 overall record, going 15-5 in Big West play. At home, they posted a 12-3 record and a +7.1 average scoring margin. On the road, they were 7-8, with a +3.1 margin.

UCSD went 17-13 against the spread, including an 8-7 road ATS record. They were favored in 20 games, finishing 16-4 straight-up and 13-7 ATS. Their average O/U line was 142.3 points, and they had a 14-15-1 O/U record, with their games averaging 144.3 points.

Tritons Offense Breakdown

California-San Diego Tritons Offense Stats

UC San Diego averaged 76.7 points per game last season, ranking 208th in possessions per game with 63.9. They shot 45% from the field, placing 147th, and had an effective field goal percentage of 53%, good for 108th. The Tritons made 8.8 three-pointers per game, ranking 53rd, on 25 attempts per game, ranking 56th, with a 35% success rate from beyond the arc.

California-San Diego Tritons Top Returning Offensive Players

Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones returns after averaging 13.7 points, 3 assists, and 5.8 rebounds in 32 games last season. Tyler McGhie also averaged 13.8 points in 22 games and will be a key contributor for the Tritons this season.

Tritons Team Defense

California-San Diego allowed 69.2 points per game last season, ranking 91st in the nation. Opponents shot 32.8% from beyond the arc against them, placing the Tritons 257th in 3-point defense. They also limited teams to 16.0 free throws per game, ranking 68th in that category.

UCSD averaged 6.3 steals per game, ranking 201st nationally, and they were 286th in blocked shots, with 2.8 per game.

Aztecs Preview: Will San Diego State Win at Home?

San Diego State Aztecs Records

San Diego State finished last season with a 22-10 overall record, going 13-8 in Mountain West play. At home, the Aztecs were 14-2, winning by an average of 10.7 points per game. However, they were just 8-8 on the road.

Against the spread, the Aztecs were 13-19, including a 5-11 mark on the road. They were favored in 25 games, going 20-5 straight-up but 11-14 ATS. Their average over/under line was 140.7 points, and they had a 17-15 O/U record, with their games averaging 141.5 points.

Aztecs Offense Breakdown

San Diego State averaged 74.6 points per game last season, but their offense was methodical, ranking 340th in possessions per game. They shot 44% from the field, placing 249th nationally, and had an effective field goal percentage of 49%, ranking 285th. The Aztecs made 6.9 three-pointers per game on 31% shooting, ranking 230th and 348th, respectively. They were 51st in free throws made per game, averaging 15.9.

Wayne McKinney II returns after averaging 13.5 points, 2.9 assists, and 3.6 rebounds per game last season. Forward Jared Coleman-Jones also returns, having averaged 11 points and 7.6 rebounds per game.

Aztecs Team Defense

San Diego State allowed 66.6 points per game last season, which ranked 41st in the nation. They also held opponents to 28.8% shooting from beyond the arc, placing them 64th in 3-point percentage defense. The Aztecs gave up 18 free throws per game, ranking 149th nationally.

In terms of creating turnovers, San Diego State averaged 7.3 steals per game, ranking 94th in the country. They also blocked 4 shots per game, placing them 85th in that category.

Tritons vs Aztecs Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across their ten previous road games, California-San Diego has an ATS mark of 6-4. Their straight up record in these matchups was 6-4 while averaging 77 points per game.
Across their three previous home games, San Diego State has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-1 while averaging 70 points per game.
The last ten games that California-San Diego was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 3-7 straight up.
Across their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Aztecs have an overall record of 4-1 while going 2-3 against the spread.