California-San Diego Tritons vs Sacramento State Hornets Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Sacramento State vs California-San Diego NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in San Diego.

Sacramento State vs California-San Diego Prediction

Don't miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Hornets and Tritons. The game is starting at 10:00 ET on ESPN+, and it's hosted by the Tritons at LionTree Arena in San Diego, CA. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this non-conference contest is set at 140.5 points, with California-San Diego being favored by -13.5 over Sacramento State.

Sacramento State vs. California-San Diego Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: Sacramento State Hornets at California-San Diego Tritons
Where: San Diego at LionTree Arena
Date: Tuesday, November 12th
Betting Odds UCSD -13.5, SACST +635 | UCSD -1014 O/U 140.5

Hornets Preview: Does Sacramento State Have a Shot at a Road Win?

Sacramento State dropped their season opener on Friday, falling 64-57 to Fresno State on the road. The Hornets entered as +6.5 point underdogs and didn’t cover the spread. The game’s total of 121 points was well below the O/U line of 159.5.

Sacramento State led 37-30 at halftime but struggled in the second half, scoring just 20 points while allowing 34. They’ll need to find more consistency on both ends of the floor moving forward.

Hornets Offense Breakdown

Sacramento State managed just 57 points in their last game, shooting 39.3% from the field and 26.7% from beyond the arc. Their effective field goal percentage was 45.9%, and they hit only 1 of 2 free throws.

Amar Augillard led the way with 30 points, hitting 4 of 13 threes and shooting 47.4% overall. Julian Vaughns added 17 points on 8 of 12 shooting, including 1 of 1 from three-point range.

Hornets Team Defense

Despite Sacramento State's defensive efforts, they allowed 64 points in their previous game. The Hornets held their opponent to 34% shooting from the field, with 21 made baskets on 61 attempts.

From beyond the arc, Sacramento State's defense limited their opponent to 8 threes on 30 attempts, a 26% shooting performance. They also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 19 times, where they converted 14 of those attempts, shooting 73%.

Tritons Preview: Is a Home Win Possible for the Tritons?

The Tritons opened their season with a 94-76 win over Pepperdine on Saturday, November 9th. Playing at home, they were -8.5 point favorites and covered the spread. The game’s total points reached 170, surpassing the O/U line of 144.5.

UCSD took control early, leading 47-32 at halftime. They matched that offensive output in the 2nd half, scoring another 47 points, while allowing 44 points to Pepperdine after the break.

Tritons Offense Breakdown

California-San Diego put up 94 points in their last game, shooting 49.2% from the field and hitting 42.1% from beyond the arc, with 16 made threes. Their effective field goal percentage was 61.5%, and they connected on 59.3% of their two-point attempts. The Tritons also added 12 offensive rebounds and 22 assists.

Stefan Todorovic led the way with 33 points, shooting 71.4% overall and 75% from three (6/8). Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones contributed 25 points, hitting 81.8% of his shots, while Tyler McGhie added 20 points, knocking down 5 threes at a 45.5% rate.

Tritons Team Defense

California-San Diego struggled defensively, giving up 76 points while allowing their opponent to shoot 49% from the field. They had trouble containing both inside and outside, with the other team hitting 59% of their two-point attempts.

From beyond the arc, the Tritons allowed 16 threes on 38 attempts, a 42% shooting performance. They also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 20 times, where they converted 14 shots.

Hornets vs Tritons Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Sacramento State has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 68 points per game while allowing 66. The team also performed well vs the spread at 4-1.
Across their last five home contests, California-San Diego has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 2-3, while averaging 71 points per game.
Looking back on the team's last five games as the underdog, the Hornets have a straight up record of 2-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 4-1.
Through their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Tritons have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 2-3.