Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Cal Poly vs UC Davis NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Davis.
Cal Poly vs UC Davis Prediction
Planning on watching today's Mustangs and Aggies game? Catch the action at University Credit Union Center in Davis, CA, as the Aggies hosts this showdown at 9:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this game is set at 158.5 points, and UC Davis is favored by -2.5 vs. Cal Poly in a Big West conference matchup.
Cal Poly vs. UC Davis Matchup At A Glance
- Sport: NCAAB
- Teams: Cal Poly Mustangs at UC Davis Aggies
- Where: Davis at University Credit Union Center
- Date: Thursday, December 5th
- Betting Odds UCDV -2.5, CALPOL +115 | UCDV -139 O/U 158.5
Mustangs Preview: Is an Upset Waiting to Happen on the Road?
Cal Poly Mustangs Recent Game/Games
Cal Poly pulled off a surprising 97-90 win over Stanford on Saturday, November 30th, bringing their record to 4-4. The Mustangs were +15.5 point underdogs going into the game, but not only did they win, they also covered the spread.
After trailing 43-34 at halftime, Cal Poly turned things around by scoring 63 points in the 2nd half while allowing 47. The game’s total points reached 187, surpassing the pre-game over/under line of 155.
Mustangs Offense Breakdown
Cal Poly's offense was firing on all cylinders, putting up 97 points with a 54.1% field goal percentage. They were especially effective inside, shooting 67.7% on two-pointers, while hitting 40% from beyond the arc.
Owen Koonce led the way with 30 points, shooting 75% overall and 60% from three. Isaac Jessup and Maxime Raynaud each added 21 points, with Jessup hitting 5 threes at a 62.5% clip.
Mustangs Team Defense
Cal Poly’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 90 points on 46% shooting from the field. They had a tough time inside, allowing 61% shooting on two-point attempts, with the opposing team hitting 21 of 34 shots.
From beyond the arc, Cal Poly’s opponents shot 30%, making 10 of 33 three-point attempts. The Mustangs also sent them to the line 22 times, where they converted 18 free throws, shooting 81%. Cal Poly gave up 10 offensive rebounds.
Aggies Preview: Pressure Builds for UC Davis as Home Favorites
UC Davis Aggies Recent Game/Games
The Aggies dropped to 2-4 on the season after a 90-57 loss to Oregon State on Saturday. Playing as +11 point underdogs, UC Davis not only lost but also failed to cover the spread.
Trailing 44-31 at halftime, the Aggies managed just 26 points in the 2nd half while allowing 46. The total points for the game reached 147, surpassing the O/U line of 140.
Aggies Offense Breakdown
UC Davis struggled offensively in their last game, shooting just 35.8% from the field and 31.2% on two-point attempts. They hit 42.9% from beyond the arc, making 9 of 21 threes, and finished with an effective field goal percentage of 45.3%.
Parsa Fallah led the way with 25 points, shooting 78.6% from the field, while Michael Rataj added 21 points and 11 rebounds, hitting 3 of 4 threes. The Aggies made just 10 of 17 free throws, and finished with 11 assists and 6 offensive rebounds.
Aggies Team Defense
UC Davis struggled defensively, giving up 90 points on 60% shooting from the field. They allowed 21 of 34 shots to fall from two-point range, a 61% success rate for their opponent.
From beyond the arc, UC Davis gave up 8 threes on 14 attempts, with their opponent shooting 57%. They also sent them to the line 25 times, where they hit 24 free throws, a 96% clip.
Mustangs vs Aggies Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis
- Although Cal Poly has a straight up record of 2-8 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 8-2. The team averaged 76 points per game in these games.
- Although UC Davis has a straight up record of 5-5 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 5-5. The team averaged 69 points per game in these games.
- The Mustangs have played well in their last five games as the betting underdog, going 3-2 straight up and 5-0 against the spread.
- Going back to their last three games as the favorite, the Aggies have a straight up record of 1-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-2.
Cal Poly vs UC Davis Prediction & Free Pick
- KnupSports.com Free Betting Prediction: UC Davis -2.5 Be sure to check out our other NCAA Basketball betting previews for this week. KnupSports.com also updates their sports betting picks page daily with plays across all sports.