Cal Poly Mustangs vs San Francisco Dons Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Cal Poly vs San Francisco NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in San Francisco.

Cal Poly vs San Francisco Prediction

Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Mustangs versus the Dons? Tip off is at at 10:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at War Memorial Gymnasium in San Francisco, CA. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 150.5 points, and San Francisco is favored by -22.5 at home against Cal Poly.

Cal Poly vs. San Francisco Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: Cal Poly Mustangs at San Francisco Dons
Where: San Francisco at War Memorial Gymnasium
Date: Tuesday, November 5th
Betting Odds SF -22.5, CALPOL +2000 | SF -7250 O/U 150.5

Mustangs Preview: Will the Mustangs Come Through as Road Underdogs?

Cal Poly Mustangs Records

Cal Poly finished last season with a 3-28 overall record, going 0-20 in Big West play. At home, they were 2-11, with an average scoring margin of -8.8 points per game. On the road, they went 1-17, losing by an average of 13.2 points per game.

Against the spread, the Mustangs were 11-20, including a 9-9 mark on the road. They were never favored in a game and had a 3-28 record as the underdog. Their over/under record was 16-13-2, with their games averaging 137.6 points per game.

Mustangs Offense Breakdown

Cal Poly averaged 63.7 points per game last season, ranking 302nd with 64.7 possessions per game. They struggled with shooting, finishing 380th in field goal percentage (40%) and 386th in effective field goal percentage (46%). The Mustangs were 394th in two-point percentage (44%) and made 6.2 three-pointers per game, shooting 33% from deep.

Point guard Jarred Hyder returns after averaging 10.3 points, 2.5 assists, and 2.6 rebounds in 25 games last season. Forward Paul Bizimana also returns, having averaged 3.9 points and 2.9 rebounds in 29 games.

Mustangs Team Defense

Cal Poly's defense struggled last season, allowing 74.1 points per game, which ranked 234th in the nation. Opponents shot 34.7% from beyond the arc against them, placing the Mustangs 370th in three-point defense.

Cal Poly also gave up 22.6 free-throw attempts per game, ranking 308th nationally. They averaged 5.4 steals per game, ranking 314th, but were better in blocked shots, averaging 3.7 per game, which was 134th in the country.

Dons Preview: Can the Dons Lock in a Home Win?

San Francisco Dons Records

San Francisco finished last season with a 22-10 record, going 12-6 in West Coast Conference play. They were strong at home, posting a 16-3 record with a +14.7 average scoring margin. On the road, they went 6-7 with a +2.5 margin.

Against the spread, the Dons were 18-14, including a 14-10 mark when favored. They were favored in 24 games, going 22-2 straight-up. Their over/under record was 16-15-1, with their games averaging 142.9 points per game.

Dons Offense Breakdown

San Francisco’s offense averaged 77.9 points per game last season, ranking 36th in possessions per game with 65.5. The Dons shot 48% from the field, placing 42nd in field goal percentage, and their effective field goal percentage of 56% ranked 39th. They made 8.6 three-pointers per game on 24.3 attempts, shooting 35% from beyond the arc. At the free-throw line, they averaged 10.7 made free throws per game, ranking 347th.

Marcus Williams, who averaged 14.1 points, 3.8 assists, and 3.2 rebounds per game last season, is a key returning player for the Dons. Malik Thomas also returns after averaging 11.8 points and 2.6 rebounds per game last season.

Dons Team Defense

San Francisco allowed 66.3 points per game last season, ranking 35th in the nation, but they struggled to defend the three-point line, allowing opponents to shoot 32.7%, which was 246th in the country. They also gave up 19.8 free-throw attempts per game, ranking 230th nationally.

On the positive side, the Dons averaged 8.2 steals per game, ranking 41st in the nation, and they blocked 3.5 shots per game, placing them 164th.

Mustangs vs Dons Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Cal Poly has a 0-3 record in their last three road games. In this stretch, they averaged 76 points per game while allowing 85. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-0.
Across the Dons last three home games, the team averaged 70 points per game while allowing 77. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 0-3 straight-up.
Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Mustangs have gone 2-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 0-3.
Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, San Francisco has an ATS mark of 3-7 while going 8-2 straight up.