Cal Poly Mustangs vs Saint Mary’s Gaels Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Cal Poly vs Saint Mary's NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Moraga.

Cal Poly vs Saint Mary's Prediction

Don't miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Mustangs and Gaels. The game is starting at 8:00 ET on ESPN+, and it's hosted by the Gaels at University Credit Union Pavilion in Moraga, CA. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this game is set at 148.5 points, and Saint Mary's is favored by -19.5 against Cal Poly in a non-conference matchup.

Cal Poly vs. Saint Mary's Matchup At A Glance

  • Sport: NCAAB
  • Teams: Cal Poly Mustangs at Saint Mary's Gaels
  • Where: Moraga at University Credit Union Pavilion
  • Date: Saturday, November 23rd
  • Betting Odds STMRY -19.5, CALPOL +1400 | STMRY -4000 O/U 148.5

Mustangs Preview: Can the Mustangs Lock in a Road Win?

Cal Poly Mustangs Recent Game/Games

Cal Poly dropped their recent game against Arizona State, losing 93-89 on Wednesday, November 20th. The Mustangs were +16.5 point underdogs going into the game, but they managed to keep it closer than expected.

Cal Poly trailed 46-38 at halftime but came out strong in the 2nd half, scoring 51 points while allowing 47. The total points for the game reached 182, going over the pre-game line of 154.5.

Mustangs Offense Breakdown

Cal Poly's offense was firing on all cylinders, putting up 89 points with a 51.6% shooting performance from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was an impressive 62.5%, thanks in part to their 74.1% shooting on two-point attempts. From beyond the arc, they hit 13 of 37 threes, good for 35.1%.

Jarred Hyder led the way with 27 points, hitting 7 threes at a 50% clip. Joson Sanon added 22 points, while Isaac Jessup contributed 17, knocking down 4 of 7 from deep. The Mustangs dished out 18 assists and grabbed just 3 offensive rebounds in the game.

Mustangs Team Defense

Cal Poly's defense struggled in their last game, giving up 93 points while allowing the opposition to shoot 48% from the field. They couldn't contain the two-point shots, with the other team hitting 52% of their attempts, going 18/34.

From beyond the arc, Cal Poly allowed 10 threes on 24 attempts, a 41% shooting rate. They also sent the other team to the free-throw line 41 times, where they made 27 free throws, shooting 65%. Cal Poly gave up 13 offensive rebounds as well.

Gaels Preview: Does Saint Mary's Have a Shot at a Home Win?

Saint Mary's Gaels Recent Game/Games

Saint Mary's picked up a 77-74 win over Nebraska on Sunday, November 17th. The Gaels, who were -4 favorites going into the game, won but didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game hit 151, surpassing the O/U line of 139.5.

Saint Mary's led 46-43 at halftime and both teams scored 31 points in the 2nd half, resulting in a tightly contested finish.

Gaels Offense Breakdown

Brice Williams led the way for Saint Mary's with 28 points in just 27 minutes, shooting 66.7% from the field. Mikey Lewis added 23 points, hitting 5 of 7 from beyond the arc, good for 71.4%.

As a team, the Gaels shot 47.8% from three-point range, connecting on 11 of 23 attempts. They struggled from the free-throw line, making just 56% of their shots, and finished with an overall field goal percentage of 42.6%.

Gaels Team Defense

Saint Mary's Gaels gave up 74 points, with their opponents shooting 44% from the field, including 53% on two-pointers (17/32). From beyond the arc, they held their opponents to 29% shooting, with just 5 made threes out of 17 attempts.

At the free-throw line, Saint Mary's sent their opponents to the stripe 29 times, where they converted 25 free throws, shooting 86%. The Gaels also allowed 13 offensive rebounds in the game.

Mustangs vs Gaels Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

  • Across their last five road contests, Cal Poly has a 4-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-4, while averaging 81 points per game.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Gaels have a straight up record of 10-0 while going 6-4 vs the spread. The team's offense averaged 75 points per game in these contests.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Cal Poly has an ATS mark of 8-2 while going 2-8 straight up.
  • Looking back on the team's last ten games as the favorite, the Gaels have a straight up record of 8-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 4-6.

Cal Poly vs Saint Mary's Prediction & Free Pick

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