Butler Bulldogs vs Missouri State Bears Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Missouri State vs Butler NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Indianapolis.

Missouri State vs Butler Prediction

Betting on today's Bears and Bulldogs game? Catch the action at Hinkle Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN, as the Bulldogs hosts this showdown at 6:45 ET on FS1. The odds for this non-conference game currently have Butler as the -16.5 favorite, with the over/under line sitting at 141.5 points.

Missouri State vs. Butler Matchup At A Glance

  • Sport: NCAAB
  • Teams: Missouri State Bears at Butler Bulldogs
  • Where: Indianapolis at Hinkle Fieldhouse
  • Date: Monday, November 4th
  • Betting Odds BUTL -16.5, MSRST +1008 | BUTL -2359 O/U 141.5

Bears Preview: Will Missouri State Win on the Road?

Missouri State Bears Records

Missouri State finished last season with a 16-16 record, going 9-13 in Missouri Valley Conference play. At home, they posted an 11-5 mark, but struggled on the road, finishing 5-11.

Against the spread, the Bears went 15-16, and they were 8-5 when favored. Their games averaged 142.1 points, with an over/under record of 16-16, and their average line was 142.3 points.

Bears Offense Breakdown

Missouri State Bears Offense Stats

Last season, Missouri State averaged 71.2 points per game, ranking 94th in possessions per game with 67.5. They shot 43% from the field, placing 243rd in field goal percentage, and their effective field goal percentage was 49%, ranking 263rd. The Bears made 6.8 three-pointers per game, shooting 31% from beyond the arc, which ranked 331st. They attempted 21.5 threes per game, ranking 199th.

Inside the arc, Missouri State shot 51% on two-point attempts, ranking 138th. They made 13.1 free throws per game, ranking 230th. Vincent Brady II, who averaged 9.1 points, 1.7 assists, and 3.4 rebounds per game last season, returns as a key player. Dez White also returns after averaging 7.8 points, 1.1 assists, and 3.1 rebounds per game.

Bears Team Defense

Last season, Missouri State allowed 71.3 points per game, ranking 146th in the nation. Opponents shot 32.1% from beyond the arc against them, placing the Bears 209th in 3-point defense. Missouri State also limited teams to 15.6 free throws per game, ranking 57th nationally.

In terms of creating turnovers, Missouri State averaged 4.3 steals per game, ranking 357th in the country. However, they were much better in blocked shots, averaging 4.5 per game, which was 46th in the nation.

Bulldogs Preview: Will Butler Secure A Victory as Home Favorites?

Butler Bulldogs Records

Butler finished last season with a 17-14 overall record, going 9-12 in Big East play. At home, they posted a 12-7 record, winning by an average of 5.9 points per game. On the road, they went 5-7, with a scoring margin of -2.2 points per game.

Against the spread, Butler was 13-18, with a 14-2 straight-up record when favored. They were favored in 16 games, covering the spread in 9 of them. As underdogs, they went 3-12 straight-up and 4-11 ATS. Their average over/under line was 146.4 points, and their games averaged 150.5 points, resulting in a 14-17 O/U record.

Bulldogs Offense Breakdown

Butler Bulldogs Offense Stats

Butler averaged 77.2 points per game last season, ranking 93rd in possessions per game with 67.9. They shot 45% from the field, placing 187th in field goal percentage, and had a 52% effective field goal percentage, ranking 174th. The Bulldogs made 8.4 three-pointers per game, ranking 87th, and shot 35% from beyond the arc, placing 141st.

Butler attempted 23.7 three-pointers per game, ranking 103rd, and made 13 free throws per game, ranking 241st. They shot 51% on two-point attempts, ranking 199th.

Butler Bulldogs Top Returning Offensive Players

Pierre Brooks II: F
  • Games: 32 (Last Year)
  • PPG: 15 (Last Year)
  • Assists: 1.1 (Last Year)
  • Rebounds: 4 (Last Year)
Jahmyl Telfort: F
  • Games: 32 (Last Year)
  • PPG: 13.6 (Last Year)
  • Assists: 3.1 (Last Year)
  • Rebounds: 4.9 (Last Year)

Bulldogs Team Defense

Butler allowed 73.7 points per game last season, ranking 221st in the nation. Opponents shot 31.8% from beyond the arc, placing the Bulldogs 187th in 3-point defense.

Butler was disciplined defensively, giving up just 13.8 free throws per game, which ranked 23rd in the country. They averaged 6.2 steals per game (215th) and 3.3 blocks per game (185th).

Bears vs Bulldogs Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Bears have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 5-5 vs the spread. The team's offense averaged 70 points per game in these contests.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Bulldogs have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 5-5 vs. the spread. The team averaged 74 points per game in this stretch.
  • As the betting underdog, the Bears have an ATS mark of just 5-5 in their last ten games. Missouri State posted a straight up mark of 3-7 in these matchups.
  • Although the Bulldogs have a strong straight up record in their last five games as the betting favorite, they have not done as well vs the spread going 2-3.

Missouri State vs Butler Prediction & Free Pick

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