Bowling Green Falcons vs New Mexico State Aggies Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our New Mexico State vs Bowling Green NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Tempe.

New Mexico State vs Bowling Green Prediction

Don't miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Aggies and Falcons. The game is starting at 2:00 ET on PTB, and it's hosted by the Falcons at Mullett Arena in Tempe, AZ. Get ready to place your bets! New Mexico State is the -5 point favorites in this non-conference matchup against Bowling Green. The over/under for the game is set at 144 points.

New Mexico State vs. Bowling Green Matchup At A Glance

  • Sport: NCAAB
  • Teams: New Mexico State Aggies at Bowling Green Falcons
  • Where: Tempe at Mullett Arena
  • Date: Saturday, November 30th
  • Betting Odds NMXST -5, NMXST -225 | BOWLGR +185 O/U 144

Aggies Preview: Can the Aggies Grab a Win in Tempe?

New Mexico State dropped to 2-4 on the season after an 82-70 road loss to Pepperdine on Friday. The Aggies, who were -5.5 favorites going into the game, failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game reached 152, surpassing the O/U line of 138.

After falling behind 42-29 at halftime, New Mexico State tried to mount a comeback in the 2nd half, scoring 41 points while allowing 40. However, they couldn’t close the gap enough to pull out the win.

Aggies Offense Breakdown

New Mexico State's offense struggled from beyond the arc in their last game, hitting just 4 of 28 three-point attempts for a 14.3% shooting percentage. Overall, they shot 36.6% from the field, with an effective field goal percentage of 39.4%. Their free-throw shooting was also subpar, connecting on just 53.8% of their attempts.

Stefan Todorovic led the way with 22 points, shooting 66.7% from the field and adding 6 rebounds and 5 assists. Moe Odum contributed 15 points and 9 assists, hitting 3 of 4 from three-point range. The Aggies grabbed 18 offensive rebounds and finished with just 8 assists as a team.

Aggies Team Defense

New Mexico State struggled defensively, giving up 82 points on 52% shooting from the field. Their two-point defense was particularly vulnerable, allowing the opposition to hit 62% of their shots inside the arc.

From three-point range, the Aggies allowed 7 made threes on 19 attempts, a 36% shooting clip. They also sent the opposing team to the free-throw line 30 times, where they converted 21 free throws for 70%.

Falcons Preview: No Pressure for Bowling Green as Home Dogs

Bowling Green Falcons Recent Game/Games

The Falcons dropped a tight one at home to Weber State on Friday, November 29th, losing 73-70. Bowling Green entered the game as +3 underdogs, and the final score resulted in an ATS push.

Bowling Green led 43-40 at halftime but managed just 27 points in the 2nd half while allowing 33. The game’s total points of 143 narrowly missed the O/U line of 143.5.

Falcons Offense Breakdown

Bowling Green's offense put up 70 points in their last game, shooting 39% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 44.1%. They struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 28.6% of their threes (6/21), but were strong at the free-throw line, connecting on 18 of 21 attempts (85.7%).

Blaise Threatt led the Falcons with 19 points and 7 rebounds, shooting 53.3% from the field. Miguel Tomley and Derrick Butler each added 16 points, with Tomley hitting 4 of 10 from three-point range.

Falcons Team Defense

Bowling Green's defense gave up 73 points in their last game, with opponents shooting 39% from the field (23/59). They allowed 44% shooting on two-point attempts (17/38).

From beyond the arc, Bowling Green's defense held their opponents to 28% shooting (6/21). However, they sent them to the free-throw line 21 times, where they converted 18 attempts (85%).

Aggies vs Falcons Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

  • Through their last five road games, New Mexico State has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 1-4 while averaging 66 points per game.
  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, Bowling Green has an ATS record of 5-4-1 while averaging 66 per game. The team went 3-7 overall in these games.
  • As the betting underdog, the Falcons have an ATS mark of just 1-1-1 in their last three games. Bowling Green posted a straight up mark of 0-3 in these matchups.
  • Through their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Aggies have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 1-2.

New Mexico State vs Bowling Green Prediction & Free Pick

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