Bowling Green Falcons vs Morgan State Bears Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Morgan State vs Bowling Green NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Bowling Green.

Morgan State vs Bowling Green Prediction

Looking to win big? The Bears and Falcons face off at 2:00 ET on ESPN+. The Falcons are hosting the game at Stroh Center in Bowling Green, OH. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 151.5 points, and Bowling Green is favored by -9.5 at home against Morgan State.

Morgan State vs. Bowling Green Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: Morgan State Bears at Bowling Green Falcons
Where: Bowling Green at Stroh Center
Date: Saturday, December 7th
Betting Odds BOWLGR -9.5, MORGST +331 | BOWLGR -580 O/U 151.5

Bears Preview: Can the Bears Pull the Upset on the Road?

Morgan State Bears Recent Game/Games

The Bears dropped to 1-6 on the season after a 92-69 road loss to UMBC on Wednesday. Entering the game as +7.5 point underdogs, Morgan State not only lost but also failed to cover the spread.

After trailing 37-26 at halftime, the Bears allowed 55 points in the 2nd half while scoring 43 of their own. The game’s total points of 161 just edged over the pre-game O/U line of 160.

Bears Offense Breakdown

Morgan State's offense struggled from beyond the arc in their last game, hitting just 1 of 9 three-point attempts for an 11.1% shooting percentage. Overall, they shot 42.4% from the field, with an effective field goal percentage that matched their overall shooting mark. At the free-throw line, they connected on only 54.5% of their attempts, going 12 for 22.

The Bears managed 13 offensive rebounds and dished out just 5 assists in the game. Amahrie Simpkins and Wynston Tabbs each scored 16 points, with Simpkins adding 11 rebounds. Marcus Banks Jr. was efficient, shooting 71.4% from the field and 75% from three-point range, finishing with 14 points and 6 rebounds.

Bears Team Defense

Despite Morgan State's defensive efforts, they allowed 92 points in their previous game, with opponents shooting 48% from the field. The Bears gave up 29 field goals on 60 attempts, including 15 two-pointers on 34 tries (44%).

From beyond the arc, Morgan State's defense struggled, allowing 14 threes on 26 attempts, a 53% shooting clip. They also sent the opposition to the line 29 times, where they converted 20 free throws (69%). The Bears allowed 9 offensive rebounds.

Falcons Preview: Will the Falcons Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?

Bowling Green improved to 2-5 on the season with a narrow 61-60 win over New Mexico State on Saturday. The Falcons were +4.5 point underdogs but managed to pull off the upset at home.

After leading 26-23 at halftime, Bowling Green scored 35 points in the 2nd half while allowing 37. The game’s total points of 121 fell well under the O/U line of 144.

Falcons Offense Breakdown

Bowling Green's offense struggled in their last game, shooting just 28.8% from the field and 23.8% from three-point range. Their effective field goal percentage was 34.6%, but they did hit 86.7% of their free throws, going 26/30 from the line.

Marcus Johnson led the Falcons with 23 points, shooting 53.8% overall and 40% from deep. Jaden Harris contributed 18 points, hitting 4 of 5 threes, while Derrick Butler added 15 points despite shooting only 26.7% from the field.

Falcons Team Defense

Bowling Green's defense was on point, holding their opponent to just 60 points on 28% shooting from the field. They limited two-point attempts to 10/31, a 32% success rate.

From beyond the arc, Bowling Green's defense allowed 5 threes on 21 attempts, a 23% shooting performance. They also sent their opponent to the line 30 times, where they hit 26 free throws, an 86% clip. Bowling Green gave up 8 offensive rebounds.

Bears vs Falcons Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

In their last three games away from home, the Bears have a straight up record of 0-3 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 75 points per game in this stretch.
In their last ten games at home, the Falcons have a straight up record of 3-7 while going 5-4-1 vs the spread. The team's offense averaged 66 points per game in these contests.
Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Bears have gone 1-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 0-3.
In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Falcons have a straight up record of 3-2, while going 2-3 against the spread.