Bowling Green Falcons vs Michigan State Spartans Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Bowling Green vs Michigan State NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in East Lansing.

Bowling Green vs Michigan State Prediction

The Falcons and Spartans are set to face off at 6:00 ET on BTN. The Spartans will host the game at Breslin Center in East Lansing, MI. The over/under for this non-conference contest is set at 148.5 points, with Michigan State being favored by -21.5 over Bowling Green.

Bowling Green vs. Michigan State Matchup At A Glance

  • Sport: NCAAB
  • Teams: Bowling Green Falcons at Michigan State Spartans
  • Where: East Lansing at Breslin Center
  • Date: Saturday, November 16th
  • Betting Odds MST -21.5, BOWLGR +1600 | MST -4500 O/U 148.5

Falcons Preview: Can the Falcons Offense Score Enough in East Lansing?

Bowling Green Falcons Recent Game/Games

The Falcons fell 91-85 to Davidson on Friday, November 8th, in a home game where they entered as +5 point underdogs. Bowling Green not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points reached 176, surpassing the O/U line of 146.5.

Bowling Green found themselves in a 47-31 hole at halftime but rallied in the 2nd half, scoring 54 points while allowing 44. Despite the strong finish, it wasn’t enough to complete the comeback.

Falcons Offense Breakdown

Bowling Green put up 85 points in their last game, shooting 46.7% from the field. They hit 10 of 22 threes, good for 45.5%, and finished with an effective field goal percentage of 55%.

Javontae Campbell led the way with 30 points on 10 of 13 shooting. Connor Kochera added 23 points, hitting 2 of 4 threes, while Bobby Durkin knocked down 4 of 6 from deep, finishing with 20 points.

Falcons Team Defense

Bowling Green's defense struggled, giving up 91 points on 46% shooting from the field. The Falcons allowed 28 made field goals on 60 attempts.

From beyond the arc, Bowling Green's defense gave up 10 threes on 22 attempts, a 45% clip. They also sent the other team to the line 25 times, where they converted 19 free throws.

Spartans Preview: Will the Spartans Live Up to Expectations at Home?

Michigan State’s season opener didn’t go as planned, as they fell 77-69 to Kansas on Tuesday. The Spartans were +6 point underdogs going into the game, and they didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game ended at 146, just under the O/U line of 150.5.

After trailing 30-24 at halftime, Michigan State put up 45 points in the 2nd half but allowed 47, leading to the loss. Despite a stronger offensive showing after the break, the Spartans couldn’t close the gap.

Spartans Offense Breakdown

Michigan State's offense struggled in their last game, shooting just 34.8% from the field and 12.5% from three-point range, hitting only 3 of 24 attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 37.7%, but they did manage to connect on 85.7% of their free throws, going 18 for 21 from the line.

Hunter Dickinson led the way with 28 points and 12 rebounds, shooting 61.9% from the floor and hitting his only three-point attempt. The Spartans finished with 11 offensive rebounds and 11 assists, with Dajuan Harris Jr. contributing 6 assists despite going 0 for 3 from beyond the arc.

Spartans Team Defense

Michigan State's defense held their opponent to 77 points, despite allowing them to shoot 21/45 (46%) from two-point range. The Spartans were particularly effective at defending the three, where they limited their opponent to just 3/24 shooting (12%).

Even with the strong defensive effort, Michigan State sent their opponent to the line 21 times, where they converted 18 free throws (85%). The Spartans also gave up 11 offensive rebounds in the game.

Falcons vs Spartans Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Bowling Green has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 69 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
  • Across their last five home contests, Michigan State has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-4, while averaging 67 points per game.
  • The last five games that Bowling Green was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 1-4 straight up.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Michigan State has an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 7-3 straight up.

Bowling Green vs Michigan State Prediction & Free Pick

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