Baylor Bears vs Gonzaga Bulldogs Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Baylor vs Gonzaga NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Spokane.

Baylor vs Gonzaga Prediction

Looking to win big? The Bears and Bulldogs face off at 11:30 ET on ESPN2. The Bulldogs are hosting the game at Spokane Arena in Spokane, WA. The over/under for this game is set at 156.5 points, and Gonzaga is favored by -6 against Baylor in a non-conference matchup.

Baylor vs. Gonzaga Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: Baylor Bears at Gonzaga Bulldogs
Where: Spokane at Spokane Arena
Date: Monday, November 4th
Betting Odds GNZG -6, BAYL +196 | GNZG -241 O/U 156.5

Bears Preview: Can the Bears Grab a Win in Spokane?

Baylor Bears Records

Last season, Baylor finished with a 22-10 record, going 12-8 in Big 12 play. At home, they were dominant, posting a 17-2 record with an average scoring margin of +16.0 points. However, they struggled on the road, finishing 5-8 with a -1.7 average scoring margin.

Against the spread, Baylor went 19-12, including a 13-5 mark at home and 6-7 on the road. They were 20-2 straight-up as the favorite and 15-6 ATS. As the underdog, they went 2-8 straight-up and 4-6 ATS. Their games averaged 151.3 points, and they had a 17-15 over/under record, with an average line of 146.8 points.

Bears Offense Breakdown

Baylor averaged 80.5 points per game last season, ranking 47th in field goal percentage (48%) and 36th in effective field goal percentage (55%). They were 42nd in three-point percentage (38%), making 8.5 threes per game. The Bears attempted 21.8 threes per game, ranking 184th. Baylor also ranked 26th in free throws made per game, averaging 16.8.

Returning for Baylor are Norchad Omier and Jeremy Roach. Omier averaged 17 points and 9.9 rebounds per game last season, while Roach contributed 14 points and 3 assists per game. Both played in 31 games.

Bears Team Defense

Last season, Baylor allowed 71.2 points per game, ranking 144th in the nation. Opponents shot 32.7% from beyond the arc against the Bears, placing them 245th in 3-point defense. Baylor also gave up 17.1 free throws per game, ranking 111th in that category.

In terms of defensive playmaking, Baylor averaged 6.7 steals per game, ranking 159th nationally. They also recorded 3.2 blocked shots per game, placing them 206th in the country.

Bulldogs Preview: Is A Home Victory Likely for Favored Gonzaga?

Gonzaga Bulldogs Records

Gonzaga finished last season with a 24-7 overall record, going 15-3 in West Coast Conference play. At home, they posted a 15-4 record, winning by an average of 15.6 points per game. On the road, they were 9-3, with an average scoring margin of +12.2 points per game.

Against the spread, the Bulldogs were 15-16, and they went 13-14 ATS as the favorite. They were favored in 27 games, finishing with a 22-5 straight-up record. Their average over/under line was 153.5 points, and they had an O/U record of 14-16-1, with their games averaging 153 points per contest.

Bulldogs Offense Breakdown

Gonzaga Bulldogs Offense Stats

Gonzaga averaged 84.9 points per game last season, ranking 23rd in possessions per game with 67. The Bulldogs shot 51% from the field, placing 15th nationally, and had an effective field goal percentage of 57%, good for 28th. They made 6.8 three-pointers per game, ranking 238th, and attempted 19.3 per game, ranking 287th, with a 35% success rate from beyond the arc.

Gonzaga Bulldogs Top Returning Offensive Players

Michael Ajayi returns after averaging 17.2 points and 9.9 rebounds per game last season. Graham Ike also returns, having averaged 16.5 points and 7.1 rebounds per game. Both players will be key contributors for the Bulldogs this season.

Bulldogs Team Defense

Last season, Gonzaga allowed 69 points per game, ranking 83rd in the nation. Opponents shot 33.1% from beyond the arc against them, placing the Bulldogs 274th in 3-point defense. They also limited teams to 15.3 free throws per game, ranking 48th in that category.

Gonzaga averaged 7 steals per game, ranking 135th nationally, and recorded 4 blocked shots per game, placing them 89th in the country.

Bears vs Bulldogs Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Although Baylor has a straight up record of 4-6 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 6-4. The team averaged 70 points per game in these games.
When looking at their past three home matchups, Gonzaga has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 72 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
As the betting underdog, the Bears have an ATS mark of just 4-6 in their last ten games. Baylor posted a straight up mark of 2-8 in these matchups.
Through their last three games as the favorite, the Bulldogs have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 2-1.