Arkansas Razorbacks vs Baylor Bears Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Arkansas vs Baylor NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Dallas.

Arkansas vs Baylor Prediction

Planning on watching today's Razorbacks and Bears game? Catch the action at American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX, as the Bears hosts this showdown at 7:30 ET on ESPNU. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 154.5 points, and Baylor is favored by -3.5 at home against Arkansas.

Arkansas vs. Baylor Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: Arkansas Razorbacks at Baylor Bears
Where: Dallas at American Airlines Center
Date: Saturday, November 9th
Betting Odds BAYL -3.5, ARK +131 | BAYL -160 O/U 154.5

Razorbacks Preview: Can the Arkansas Offense Score Enough on the Road?

Arkansas opened their season with a 76-60 win over Lipscomb on Wednesday. Playing at home, the Razorbacks were -16 point favorites, and the result was an ATS push.

After leading 39-28 at halftime, Arkansas scored 37 points in the 2nd half while allowing 32. The game’s total points of 136 fell short of the 160-point O/U line.

Razorbacks Offense Breakdown

Arkansas put up 76 points in their last game, shooting 54% from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 57.1%, thanks to a strong performance inside, hitting 68.2% of their two-point attempts (30/44).

From beyond the arc, they struggled, shooting just 21.1% (4/19), and they hit only 4 free throws on 7 attempts. Boogie Fland led the way with 17 points, despite shooting 1/8 from three.

Razorbacks Team Defense

Despite Arkansas giving up 60 points, they allowed their opponent to shoot 54% from the field, including a scorching 68% on two-pointers, with 30 makes on 44 attempts.

From beyond the arc, Arkansas held their opponent to 21% shooting, as they hit just 4 of 19 threes. The Razorbacks also sent them to the line 7 times, where they converted 4 free throws.

Bears Preview: Can the Bears Offense Score Enough at Home?

Baylor’s season opener didn’t go as planned, as they fell 101-63 to Gonzaga on Monday. The Bears were +6 point underdogs going into the game, but they didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game reached 164, surpassing the over/under line of 157.5.

After trailing 49-30 at halftime, Baylor couldn’t turn things around in the second half, scoring just 33 points while allowing 52. They’ll need to regroup quickly as they look to bounce back from this tough start.

Bears Offense Breakdown

Baylor's offense struggled from the field in their last game, shooting just 37.1% overall and 13.6% from beyond the arc, hitting only 3 of 22 attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 38.7%, but they managed to shoot 50% on two-point attempts, going 20 for 40.

They also connected on 14 of 20 free throws, a 70% rate, and grabbed 14 offensive rebounds. The Bears recorded 11 assists, with Nolan Hickman leading the way, scoring 17 points and grabbing 6 rebounds, while Dusty Stromer hit 3 of 5 threes, finishing with 11 points and 6 boards.

Bears Team Defense

Baylor's defense struggled in this one, giving up 101 points on 57% shooting from the field. They allowed 27 two-point baskets on 39 attempts, a 69% success rate for their opponent.

From beyond the arc, Baylor's opponent hit 13 of 31 threes, good for 41%. They also sent them to the line 13 times, where they made 8 free throws. Baylor gave up 16 offensive rebounds.

Razorbacks vs Bears Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Through their last ten road games, Arkansas has an ATS record of just 5-5. However, their overall record was 2-8 while averaging 75 points per game.
In their last ten games at home, the Bears have a straight up record of 3-7 while going 5-5 vs. the spread. The team averaged 69 points per game in this stretch.
In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Razorbacks have a straight up record of 1-4 and an ATS mark of 4-1.
In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Bears have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.