Air Force Falcons vs Sacramento State Hornets Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Sacramento State vs Air Force NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Colorado Springs.

Sacramento State vs Air Force Prediction

Planning on watching today's Hornets and Falcons game? Catch the action at Clune Arena in Colorado Springs, CO, as the Falcons hosts this showdown at 4:00 ET on MWN. The over/under for this game is set at 129.5 points, and Air Force is favored by -5.5 against Sacramento State in a non-conference matchup.

Sacramento State vs. Air Force Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: Sacramento State Hornets at Air Force Falcons
Where: Colorado Springs at Clune Arena
Date: Wednesday, November 27th
Betting Odds AIRF -5.5, SACST +198 | AIRF -247 O/U 129.5

Hornets Preview: Can the Hornets Pull Out the Win as Road Underdogs?

Sacramento State dropped to 1-2 on the season after an 83-77 road loss to California on Sunday. The Hornets entered the game as +14.5 point underdogs but managed to keep it closer than expected.

After trailing 40-33 at halftime, Sacramento State put up 44 points in the 2nd half while allowing 43. The game’s total points of 160 went over the pre-game line of 137.5.

Hornets Offense Breakdown

Sacramento State put up 77 points in their last game, shooting 43.1% from the field and 37% from three-point range, hitting 10 of 27 attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 51.7%, and they connected on 65.4% of their free throws, going 17 for 26 from the line.

Jacob Holt led the way with 25 points, shooting 50% overall and 40% from deep. Andrej Stojakovic added 20 points, while Julian Vaughns contributed 18, hitting 4 of 6 threes. The Hornets grabbed 10 offensive rebounds and dished out 13 assists in the win.

Hornets Team Defense

Even with Sacramento State giving up 83 points, they struggled to contain the opposition inside, allowing them to shoot 66% on two-point attempts (18/27). From beyond the arc, the Hornets managed to hold the other team to 26% shooting, as they went 7/26 from three-point range.

Sacramento State sent their opponent to the free-throw line 39 times, where they converted 26 of those attempts, shooting 66% from the stripe. Additionally, the Hornets gave up 13 offensive rebounds in the game.

Falcons Preview: Can the Falcons Live Up to the Hype at Home?

Air Force Falcons Recent Game/Games

Air Force cruised to an 82-48 win over Mercyhurst on Sunday, November 24th, at home. The Falcons, who were favored by 9 points, covered the spread with ease. The total points for the game reached 130, just surpassing the over/under line of 127.

After leading 31-24 at halftime, Air Force clamped down defensively, allowing only 24 points in the 2nd half while scoring 51 of their own.

Falcons Offense Breakdown

Air Force's offense was firing on all cylinders in their last game, putting up 82 points on 64.6% shooting from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was an impressive 79.2%, thanks in large part to their 71.4% shooting from beyond the arc, where they hit 15 of 21 attempts.

The Falcons dished out 26 assists, with Ethan Taylor contributing 4 along with his 21 points and 10 rebounds. Taylor connected on 7 of 10 threes, finishing with a 70% shooting percentage from deep.

Falcons Team Defense

Despite Air Force's defensive struggles, they held their opponent to 48 points. The Falcons allowed a 64% shooting performance, with the other team hitting 31 of 48 shots.

Air Force gave up 15 threes on 21 attempts, a 71% shooting rate. They also sent the other team to the line 9 times, where they made 5 free throws.

Hornets vs Falcons Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across their ten previous road games, Sacramento State has an ATS mark of 8-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 3-7 while averaging 62 points per game.
Air Force has a 1-4 record in their last five home games. In this stretch, they averaged 65 points per game while allowing 76. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Hornets have a straight up record of 0-5 and an ATS mark of 3-2.
In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Falcons have a straight up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 2-3.