There appears to be a chance of rain in Washington, D.C., on Thursday, as the forecasted temperature is 74 degrees. The Padres and Nationals will square off at 12:05 PM ET at Nationals Park. San Diego is 54-50, while the Nationals are 47-55. Patrick Corbin will be starting for the Nationals, and the Padres are starting Dylan Cease.
San Diego is currently on a four-game winning streak, and they are 2nd in the NL West. The money line odds have them favored at -185, while the Nationals are +155. Thursday's over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and MASN will be televising the game.
San Diego vs. Washington Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Padres at Nationals
- Where: Nationals Park Washington
- Date: Thursday, July 25th
- Betting Odds SD -185 | WSH +155 O/U 8.5
Padres vs Nationals Last Game Recap
San Diego cruised to a 12-3 win over the Nationals in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 2nd inning, scoring four of their twelve runs. As for the Nationals, they scored their only three runs in the 1st. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -110.
Matt Waldron started for the Padres and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just three earned runs. Mitchell Parker got the start for the Nationals and took the loss, giving up six earned runs in three innings of work.
Xander Bogaerts, Kyle Higashioka, and Jurickson Profar each homered for the Padres. Bogaerts had a huge game at the plate, going 4/4 with two RBIs.
Padres Preview
San Diego's overall series record is 18-13-3, and they are 26-28 at home this season. They are 28-22 on the road and have won three straight series away from home. The Padres have a 54-50 record and are 7.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West.
This season, the Padres have gone over the total 14 times and under 11 times when the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs. Their games have had an average of 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record is 54-49. On the run line, they are 35-15 as the road team and 31-14 as underdogs.
Dylan Cease gets the start for the Padres today as he faces off against the Nationals on the road. Cease has made 21 starts this year and has a record of 9-8 with a 3.76 ERA. In his 21 appearances, Cease has pitched 12 quality starts and is coming off a game in which he didn't allow a run. In that outing vs. the Guardians, Cease went seven innings, picking up the win and finishing with 10 strikeouts. Cease has been pitching well lately, as he has allowed three earned runs or fewer in each of his last four outings. His ERA on the road is 5.44 compared to 3.46 at home.
San Diego comes into the game as the league's top-hitting team, with a batting average of .262. They also do a good job of putting the ball in play, as they have the league's fewest strikeouts. The Padres also have a good team on-base percentage and are near the top of the league in slugging. Overall, they are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in the league.
Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth are the Padres' top power threats, with 16 and 14 home runs, respectively. Profar is also 15th in the league with 62 RBIs. However, both players have struggled of late, with Profar batting just .186 over his last 10 games and Cronenworth hitting .179 in that stretch. Xander Bogaerts comes into the game with a four-game hitting streak and is batting .483 over his last seven games.
Nationals Preview
Washington is 47-55 overall and 4th in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 17 games. They have lost two straight games and are down 0-2 in the series vs. the Padres. The Nationals have a 13-17-2 series record this season.
As underdogs, Washington is 37-46 straight up and 48-35 against the run line. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs, resulting in a 49-49 over/under record. For games with an 8.5 O/U line, they are 15-16.
Washington is sending left-hander Patrick Corbin to the mound today vs. the Padres. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 2-9 with a 5.35 ERA. Corbin's WHIP for the season is 1.49, and opponents are batting .287 off him this year. In his last outing, Corbin picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Corbin has made nine starts at home and is 1-3 with a 5.09 ERA.
Washington's offense is averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 20th in the league and is also the worst home run hitting team in the league. As a team, they are batting .239, and their on-base percentage of .307 is 14th in the league. Washington's team OPS of .677 is 24th in the league.
Over his last seven games, Juan Yepez has gone 11/27 with two homers and six RBIs. This has pushed his season average to .262. CJ Abrams has been a good source of power for the Nationals, as his 15 homers is 1st on the team and 15th in the league. Abrams also leads the team with 49 RBIs.
Padres vs. Nationals Prediction: Nationals ML +155
With the Nationals at +155 to pick up the win, we see this as a great opportunity to take them on the money line. If you like the Nationals to win but are looking for a little more value, you could also look at taking them on the run line, as there are +1.5 at home.
Offensively, we actually have the Nationals finishing with more runs than the Padres, with our predicted final score being 6-5 in favor of the Nationals. Looking at some of the Padres hitters, we actually have them finishing with the third-fewest home runs as a team today.
