From Yankee Stadium in New York, the Blue Jays and Yankees face off in an AL East matchup. First pitch on Sunday is set for 1:35 PM ET. Gerrit Cole will be on the mound for the Yankees, while the Blue Jays are starting Yariel Rodriguez. Toronto is 5th in the AL East, with a record of 51-60, while the Yankees are 2nd, as they are 66-46.
New York comes into this one as the heavy favorite, with money line odds of -236, while the Blue Jays are sitting at +194. The over/under line is currently 9.5 runs, and this game will be televised on SNET.
Toronto vs. New York Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Blue Jays at Yankees
- Where: Yankee Stadium New York
- Date: Sunday, August 4th
- Betting Odds NYY -236 | TOR +194 O/U 9.5
Blue Jays vs Yankees Last Game Recap
New York picked up an 8-3 win over the Blue Jays in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a huge 1st inning, scoring two of their three runs. As for the Blue Jays, they scored their first run in the 1st and added their final two runs in the 6th.
Carlos Rodón got the win for the Yankees, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued two walks. On the other side, José Berríos had a rough outing for the Blue Jays, taking the loss after going five innings and giving up five earned runs.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hit the game's only home run while going 3/4 with two RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Anthony Volpe did a bit of everything for the Yankees, going 2/4 with a home run and three RBIs.
Blue Jays Preview
As they face the Yankees on the road today, the Blue Jays are 5th in the AL East and trail the Orioles by 14.5 games for the division lead. Their overall record is 51-60, with a series record of 12-16-6 and a run line record of 52-59.
When the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, the Blue Jays have a 3-1 O/U record this season. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game, resulting in a 61-47 O/U record for the season.
Right-hander Yariel Rodríguez gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 1-4 with an ERA of 4.31. Opponents have hit .207 off Rodríguez this year, and his WHIP is currently 1.36. The last time he took the mound, he only went two-thirds of an inning, giving up three earned runs, four hits, and a homer. He ended up taking the loss in that outing. Before that, he had put together two straight quality starts.
So far this season, the Blue Jays offense is averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. They have been slightly better on the road (4.3 RPG) than at home (4.0 RPG). As a team, the Blue Jays are batting .240, which is 14th in the league, and they are also near the top of the league in terms of fewest strikeouts per game.
Over his last five games, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been on fire, going 11/18 with two homers and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting .318 with 22 homers and 72 RBIs. Guerrero Jr. is also on a 16-game hitting streak. George Springer and Daulton Varsho are also near the top of the Blue Jays home run leaderboard, but both are batting under .230 for the season.
Yankees Preview
As the underdog, the Yankees have an impressive 18-6 record, but as the favorite, they are 48-40 straight up. Their overall run line record is 60-52, with a 36-24 record on the road and 24-28 at home. The over has hit in their last 9 games, and their over/under record for the season is 62-46.
New York is tied for the AL East lead with the Orioles, both teams holding a 66-46 record. The Yankees are 28-24 at home and 38-22 on the road. They have won two straight series and have an overall series record of 19-11-4. Heading into today's game, they are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
New York is sending Gerrit Cole to the mound today vs. the Blue Jays, and he will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he took the loss. Against the Mets, Cole gave up six earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Looking back further, he had picked up the win in two straight outings before that. Cole has made two quality starts this year and has a record of 3-2 with a 5.40 ERA. For the season, he has allowed a total of nine home runs. Cole's ERA at home is 5.96 compared to 5.6 on the road.
Not only are the Yankees the top-scoring team in the league at 5.2 runs per game, they also have the top on-base percentage and OPS in the league. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.6 runs per game. As a team, the Yankees are 2nd in home runs and have the league's top two home run hitters in Aaron Judge and Juan Soto.
Judge has been on a tear of late, going 15/34 with six homers over his last nine games. For the season, he is batting .321 with a league-leading 103 RBIs. Soto is also among the league leaders in homers, and he comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak. Anthony Volpe has an eight-game hitting streak for the Yankees.
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Prediction: Over 9.5 Runs +102
We do see the Yankees coming away with a win in this one, but with the money line payout being -236, we recommend taking the over, as we have this one ending with a score of 7-6 in favor of the Yankees.
With the over/under sitting at 9.5 runs, there is some good value on the over at +102. Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Gerrit Cole finishing with eight strikeouts, and for the Blue Jays, Yariel Rodriguez is projected to finish with six.
