The over/under line for Sunday's Pirates vs. Yankees interleague matchup is at 8.5 runs, with New York being favored on the money line (-193). The Pirates have won two straight and their record is 76-85, while the Yankees are 93-68.
YES will be televising Sunday's game, which is set to get started at 3:05 PM ET from Yankee Stadium in New York, NY. Clarke Schmidt will be starting for the Yankees, while the Pirates are going with Bailey Falter.
Pittsburgh vs. New York Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Pirates at Yankees
- Where: Yankee Stadium New York
- Date: Sunday, September 29th
- Betting Odds NYY -193 | PIT +162 O/U 8.5
Pirates vs Yankees Last Game Recap
Pittsburgh cruised to a 9-4 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates had a huge 5th inning, scoring two more runs than they did in any other inning. As for the Yankees, they scored their final run in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Pirates were at +116 on the money line.
Mike Burrows only went two innings for the Pirates but didn't give up a run and got the win. Aroldis Chapman closed things out. Luis Gil had a rough outing for the Yankees, giving up six runs in 5 2/3 innings of work.
Yasmani Grandal and Nick Yorke each homered for the Pirates, while Jared Triolo scored three times and drove in two runs while going 1/4. Billy Cook also had a two RBI game at the plate.
Pirates Preview
On the run line, the Pirates have been a good bet this season, going 47-33 on the road and 62-37 as underdogs. Overall, they are 86-75 against the run line. Pittsburgh's games have averaged 8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 77-82. When the O/U line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have a 31-23 record.
Pittsburgh has a 2-0 series lead over the Yankees, and they are 76-85 overall this season, sitting in 4th place in the NL Central, 17 games behind the Brewers. The Pirates are 25-27 in divisional games and have dropped four straight series.
Pittsburgh is sending left-hander Bailey Falter to the mound today vs. the Yankees. He has made 27 starts this season and comes in with a record of 8-9 and an ERA of 4.26. Looking at his overall numbers, Falter has a WHIP of 1.26 and has issued just 2.71 walks per nine innings compared to 6.27 strikeouts. Falter's last outing came on September 24th, where he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Overall, the Pirates offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 4.1 runs per game (24th) and have one of the worst slugging percentages in the league. However, they do have two players with over 20 homers, with Bryan Reynolds leading the way with 24 homers and 88 RBIs. Reynolds is also batting .276 for the season. Oneil Cruz and Bryan De La Cruz have also been solid power threats, with 21 homers apiece.
Reynolds is currently on a three-game hitting streak, but he is just 5/22 in his last six games. Billy Cook has gone 5/18 in his last six games, including two homers. Nick Gonzales is also on a three-game hitting streak and is 6/21 in his last six games.
Yankees Preview
So far this season, the Yankees have gone over the total in 54.5% of their games, with an average of 9.1 runs per game. Their games with an 8.5 run line have gone over 58.9% of the time, hitting the over in 33 of 56 matchups. The Yankees are 83-78 against the run line, with a better record on the road at 49-32 compared to 34-46 at home.
New York's overall series record is 30-17-4, and they have won three straight series on the road. They are 5-5 in their last 10 games and are looking to avoid a three-game losing streak today. The Yankees lead the AL East by three games over the Orioles, with an overall record of 93-68.
Right-hander Clarke Schmidt gets the start for the Yankees today as he faces off against the Pirates at home. He has made 15 starts this year and has a record of 5-5 with an ERA of 2.54. Schmidt's WHIP for the season is 1.16, and opponents are batting .221 off him this year. Schmidt's last outing came on September 24th, where he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight outings. Schmidt has made two quality starts this year.
The Yankees offense has been one of the best in the league this season, as they lead the league in home runs and are 3rd in runs per game at 5 runs per contest. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .248 as a team and have the league's top offense in terms of RBIs.
Not only does Aaron Judge lead the league in home runs, but he is also batting .322 for the season and has gone 5/26 over his last eight games. During this stretch, Judge has five homers and eight RBIs. Juan Soto is also having a great season for the Yankees, as he is 2nd on the team with 41 homers and is batting .288 overall.
Pirates vs. Yankees Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs -104
Our predicted score for this one is a 5-4 win for the Yankees, which means that there is some value in taking them on the money line at -193. However, we see the payout being better on the over/under line, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. We would actually take the over in this one, as we see the Yankees hitting going for eight runs and the Pirates scoring four.
Looking at some potential player props, Clarke Schmidt is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which would have him finishing ninth among all starters. As for Bailey Falter, he is projected to finish with five, which would have him finishing third from the bottom.
