At 5:08 PM ET, the Phillies and Mets square off in an NL East matchup. This one is taking place at Citi Field in New York, and the Phillies are the division leaders with a record of 95-67, while the Mets are 2nd in the East at 89-73.
Jose Quintana will start for the Mets, and they are the slight favorite on the money line (-116). Ranger Suarez is going for the Phillies. Wednesday's over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and FS1 will be televising this one.
Philadelphia vs. New York Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Phillies at Mets
- Where: Citi Field New York
- Date: Wednesday, October 9th
- Betting Odds NYM -116 | PHI -101 O/U 7.5
Phillies vs Mets Last Game Recap
New York cruised to a 7-2 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 2nd inning, scoring six of their seven runs. As for the Phillies, they scored their only two runs in the 8th. Heading into the game, the Mets were the slight favorites at -103.
Pete Alonso and Jesse Winker each homered for the Mets, while Mark Vientos scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/4. Starling Marte also had a two RBI game at the plate.
Sean Manaea pitched well for the Mets in this one, going seven innings and striking out six without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Aaron Nola had a rough outing for the Phillies, taking the loss.
Phillies Preview
Facing a must-win situation in game four of their series against the Mets, the Phillies need a victory to avoid elimination. Philadelphia is on the road, where they posted a 41-40 record during the regular season, compared to a 54-27 mark at home. As favorites, they went 83-51, while they were 13-18 as underdogs.
Philadelphia finished the regular season with a 78-87 run line record, including 41-41 on the road. Their average run margin was +0.6 per game. The Phillies’ over/under record was 81-75, and 72.2% of their games had higher totals than today’s 7.5 line. The over has hit in eight straight games for the Phillies.
Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Mets on the road. This year, he has made 27 starts and has a record of 12-8 with an ERA of 3.46. Suárez's WHIP for the season is currently 1.20. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in just two innings of work. Before that, he had pitched well, giving up two earned runs in each of his previous two outings. Suárez has one complete game shutout this year and 11 quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.66 strikeouts and 2.45 walks.
Philadelphia's offense has been one of the best in the league this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game (5th) and batting .257 as a team, which is the 4th best mark in the league. They have also been one of the top home run-hitting teams in the league, coming in 7th with 198 homers. The Phillies have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per game.
Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been two of the Phillies' top power threats this season, with Schwarber's 38 homers leading the team and Harper's 30 homers being the 2nd most on the team. Harper comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak and is batting .285 for the season. Schwarber has struggled of late, hitting just .179 over his last 10 games.
Mets Preview
With a 2-1 series lead, the Mets are looking to close out their series against the Phillies in game four. New York finished the regular season with an 89-73 record, going 46-35 at home and 43-38 on the road. As favorites, they went 59-39, while posting a 34-36 record as underdogs. The Mets have won three straight at home.
New York's run line record stands at 87-81, with a 39-43 mark at home. They’ve also covered the run line in their last three home games. As underdogs, their run line record is 42-28. The Mets’ games have averaged 9.1 runs this season, and their over/under record is 86-77. The over has hit in their last three games.
Jose Quintana is looking to build off his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Brewers, he went six innings, giving up no earned runs, and coming away with the win. In that outing, he gave up four hits, issued two walks, and didn't allow a homer. Before that, he had given up a homer in three straight outings. Quintana's ERA for the season is 3.75, along with a record of 10-10. Opponents are batting .233 off the left-hander this year. For the season, he has made 31 starts, 12 of which were quality starts.
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been a strong 1-2 punch for the Mets this season, as Lindor is batting .273 with 33 homers, and Alonso is batting .240 with 34 homers. Lindor's 91 RBIs are the best mark on the team. Over his last eight games, Mark Vientos has gone 10/27 with two homers and eight RBIs. Pete Alonso has also homered three times in this stretch but is just 6/27.
Overall, the Mets are 7th in scoring at 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. As a team, the Mets are 6th in home runs and have the 8th best team batting average in the league.
Phillies vs. Mets Prediction: Mets ML -116
There are a few ways you could look to play this game, but our top recommendation is to take the Mets on the money line at -116. We have the Mets winning this one 4-3, and with the payout being better than the over/under line, we like this as a straight-up pick.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Jose Quintana finishing with four strikeouts, while Ranger Suarez is projected to finish with five. Suarez is also projected to give up fewer runs than Quintana, and if you're looking for a player prop, you could look at Suarez's strikeout line.
