At 7:40 PM ET, the Cardinals and Brewers will face off in an NL Central matchup. This one is taking place at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Brewers are the favorites on the money line at +103. The Cardinals have a money line payout of -122, and the over/under line is at 8 runs.
BSMW will be televising Wednesday's matchup, and Sonny Gray will be starting for the Cardinals. The Brewers are 81-58, while the Cardinals are 70-69 and are 3rd in the NL Central. Milwaukee's Colin Rea is set to start.
St. Louis vs. Milwaukee Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Cardinals at Brewers
- Where: American Family Field Milwaukee
- Date: Wednesday, September 4th
- Betting Odds STL -122 | MIL +103 O/U 8
Cardinals vs Brewers Last Game Recap
It was all St. Louis in the last game of this series, as the Cardinals took down the Brewers by a score of 7-4. The Cardinals offense only had nine hits in the game but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +133 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Steven Matz for the Cardinals and Aaron Civale for the Brewers. Matz only went 4 2/3 innings but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. On the other side, Civale was tagged for three homers and three earned runs in five innings of work.
Milwaukee had a late rally in this game, scoring one run in the 11th and another in the 12th, but Ryan Helsley closed things out for the Cardinals. Elvis Peguero took the loss for the Brewers out of the bullpen.
Cardinals Preview
St. Louis has an overall series record of 22-17-5 this season and they are looking to take the series lead over the Brewers today, as the series is currently tied 1-1. The Cardinals are 70-69 overall and trail the Brewers by 11 games in the NL Central.
When betting the run line on the Cardinals, it's been more profitable to take them as the underdog, as they're 47-25 against the run line in those games. Their overall run line record is 69-70, with an average scoring margin of -0.4 runs per game. The Cardinals' over/under record for the season is 68-68 and their current over streak is at 5 games.
Sonny Gray will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced off against the Padres and picked up the win. In that outing, he went six innings and gave up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Gray has made 25 starts and has a record of 12-9. His ERA for the season is 3.96, along with a WHIP of 1.10. Opponents have a batting average of .219 vs. Gray this season. The right-hander has turned in 11 quality starts and is averaging 10.91 strikeouts per nine innings. Gray's overall home ERA is 2.82, compared to 5.97 on the road.
Paul Goldschmidt has been on fire for the Cardinals of late, going 19/36 in his last nine games with two homers and nine RBIs. Overall, he is batting .247 for the season, which is 9th on the team. Goldschmidt is also 1st on the team in homers (21) and 4th in RBIs (58). Alec Burleson is also at 21 homers for the season and is the team's top run producer, with 73 RBIs.
As a team, the Cardinals are 22nd in the league in runs scored at 4.2 per game. They have been a bit better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per contest. St. Louis comes into the game with a team batting average of .249, which is 10th in the MLB.
Brewers Preview
With a 81-58 record, the Brewers are 10 games ahead of the Cubs in the NL Central. They have won three straight series and are 6-4 in their last 10 games. As underdogs, Milwaukee has a 40-19 run line record, but as favorites, they are 32-48 vs. the run line.
For the season, the Brewers' games have averaged 8.8 runs, and 56.1% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today's total of 8 runs. Their over/under record for games with an 8-run line is 11-11-4, and they are currently on a two-game over streak.
Milwaukee is sending Colin Rea to the mound today vs. the Cardinals, and he has made 23 starts this year. Rea's record is 12-4, and he has an ERA of 3.70. So far, he has turned in eight quality starts, and his ERA at home is 4.04 compared to 3.73 on the road. In his last outing, Rea finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has been tagged for four earned runs in two of his last four outings.
So far this season, the Brewers are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 5th in the league. They have been even better on the road, putting up 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .252, which is 8th in the MLB, and have the 3rd best on-base percentage in the league. Milwaukee also does a good job of avoiding strikeouts, as they have the 22nd fewest strikeouts in the league.
Willy Adames has been one of the league's top power hitters this season, as his 29 home runs are good for 9th in the league. Adames is also on a 12-game hitting streak and has 100 RBIs, which is 3rd in the league. Over his last six games, Adames has gone deep five times. William Contreras is batting .278 for the season and has 20 homers.
Cardinals vs. Brewers Prediction: Brewers ML +103
Our pick for this Cardinals vs. Brewers matchup is to take the Brewers on the money line at +103. We have the Brewers winning this one by a score of 5-4. At +103, the Brewers have an implied win probability of 49.3%, and we have them at 50%.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Sonny Gray finishing with six strikeouts, and Colin Rea with six as well. As for the Cardinals lineup, they are projected to finish with nine hits, while the Brewers are predicted to finish with nine as well.
