Wednesday's matchup between the Phillies and Brewers has a first pitch set for 7:40 PM ET from American Family Field in Milwaukee. The Phillies are 91-60 and 1st in the NL East, while the Brewers are 87-64 and 1st in the NL Central.
MLBN will be televising Wednesday's Phillies vs. Brewers game, and the money line odds have the Phillies at +101 compared to the Brewers at -119. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and Freddy Peralta is scheduled to start for the Brewers, while the Phillies are starting Aaron Nola.
Philadelphia vs. Milwaukee Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Phillies at Brewers
- Where: American Family Field Milwaukee
- Date: Wednesday, September 18th
- Betting Odds MIL -119 | PHI +101 O/U 8
Phillies vs Brewers Last Game Recap
Philadelphia cruised to a 5-1 win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 2nd inning, scoring four of their five runs. As for the Brewers, they scored their only run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -141.
Zack Wheeler pitched well for the Phillies in this one, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but didn't issue a walk. Frankie Montas got the start for the Brewers, going just 5 2/3 innings and giving up three runs.
At the plate, Bryce Harper and Nick Castellanos each homered for the Phillies. Harper, Trea Turner, and Kyle Schwarber each had two RBIs. Turner went 3/5 with a stolen base.
Phillies Preview
Philadelphia has an overall record of 91-60, and they are currently eight games ahead of the Mets in the NL East. The Phillies have a 27-16-7 series record this season and have won two straight series. Their run line record is 73-78, with an average run margin of +0.8 runs per game.
When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, Philadelphia's O/U record is 17-18-2. This season, their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game, and the overall O/U record for Phillies games is 70-73. Heading into today's game, the Phillies are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
Aaron Nola will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Mets, as he gave up six earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up two home runs. Nola has actually given up a homer in three straight starts. Before that outing, he had a shutout and a complete game in his previous two starts. Nola's record for the season is 12-8, and his ERA is 3.62. Out of his 30 starts, he has 18 quality starts. Per nine innings, Nola is averaging 8.64 strikeouts and 2.33 walks.
Philadelphia comes into today's game as one of the league's top offenses, averaging 4.8 runs per game (5th). They have been even better at home, putting up 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 2nd in the league in team batting average at .258. The Phillies have been especially good at not striking out, as they are 14th in the league in fewest strikeouts.
Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been two of the league's top power hitters this season, with Schwarber's 35 homers leading the team and Harper's 29 homers coming in as the 2nd most on the team and 13th in the league. Harper has been hot of late, going 10/28 in his last seven games, with three homers over that stretch. Harper is also 3rd on the team with 84 RBIs.
Brewers Preview
With an 87-64 record, the Brewers are atop the NL Central, holding a 10-game lead over the Cubs. They have a 30-19 record against divisional opponents and are 43-30 at home and 44-34 on the road.
As underdogs, the Brewers have a 44-21 record, but as favorites, they are 34-52. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs this season, resulting in a 77-64 over/under record. When the total line is 8 runs, they have gone 11-11-5.
Freddy Peralta will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in five innings of work. In that outing vs. the Diamondbacks, he allowed just one hit and issued four walks. Peralta finished with five strikeouts in the outing. Overall, he has a record of 11-8 and an ERA of 3.75. Opponents have a batting average of .221 vs. Peralta this season. Looking back over his last four outings, Peralta has given up three earned runs in three of those starts. He has made 30 starts this season, and his ERA at home is 4.27 compared to 3.73 on the road.
William Contreras and Willy Adames have been two of the Brewers' top power threats this season, as Adames' 32 homers is 1st on the team and 10th in the league, while Contreras is 3rd on the team with 22 homers. Adames' 109 RBIs is 3rd in the league, and Contreras has driven in 90 runs this season, which is 2nd on the team. Adames has been in a bit of a slump of late, hitting just .207 over his last eight games, and Contreras has gone 7/22 in his last seven games.
As a team, the Brewers are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 4th in the MLB. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .250, which is 7th in the league, and are near the top of the league in walks and on-base percentage.
Phillies vs. Brewers Prediction: Brewers ML -119
Our prediction for today's Phillies vs. Brewers matchup is to take the Brewers on the money line, with the payout being -119. We have the Brewers winning this one by a score of 5-4.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Freddy Peralta is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is good for sixth among all starters today. As for Aaron Nola, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is eighth best.
Offensively, we have the Brewers finishing with nine hits compared to the Phillies with eight. The Phillies are projected to finish with four runs, and the Brewers are projected to score five.
