Joe Ryan will start for the Twins on Sunday vs. the Brewers, who are 56-42 and have won two straight. Milwaukee is starting Aaron Civale, and they are the slight money line underdog (+134). Sunday's interleague matchup has a first pitch of 1:05 PM ET from Target Field in Minneapolis.
The forecast for Sunday's game in Minneapolis calls for light rain and temperatures in the upper 60s. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the Twins are favored on the money line (-159). In the the NL Central, the Brewers have a 1.5-game lead over the Reds.
Milwaukee vs. Minnesota Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Brewers at Twins
- Where: Target Field Minneapolis
- Date: Sunday, July 21st
- Betting Odds MIN -159 | MIL +134 O/U 8
Brewers vs Twins Last Game Recap
It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Twins by a score of 8-4. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Twins and struck out nine times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +103 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Freddy Peralta for the Brewers and Pablo Lopez for the Twins. Peralta only went six innings but didn't give up a hit or a run and finished with eight strikeouts. On the other side, Lopez was tagged for four runs in seven innings of work.
Milwaukee's two-through-four hitters, Jackson Chourio, William Contreras, and Willy Adames, combined for seven of the team's eight RBIs. Chourio and Brice Turang each scored three times for the Brewers' offense.
Brewers Preview
Heading into today's game, the Brewers have a 56-42 overall record and are five games ahead of the Cardinals in the NL Central. They have won two straight games and took the first game of the series vs. the Twins, giving them an overall series record of 17-11-3.
On the run line, the Brewers have a 51-47 record and have been especially good as underdogs, going 29-15. The over has hit in three straight games for the Brewers, bringing their season over record to 53-41. This season, the Brewers' games have averaged 8.8 runs per game.
Right-hander Aaron Civale gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Twins on the road. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 2-7 with a 4.94 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .263 off Civale this season, and he has a WHIP of 1.38. In his 19 starts, Civale has turned in four quality starts and is averaging 8.97 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his recent outings, Civale has allowed just one earned run in two of his last four starts. Most recently, he took the loss vs. the Pirates, giving up one earned run in 6 1/3 innings of work.
Milwaukee's offense has been one of the league's best this season, as they are 8th in the MLB in runs per game (4.8) and are batting a collective .255. Their team on-base percentage of .332 is the 2nd best mark in the league. The Brewers have also been good at avoiding strikeouts, as their team average of 8 strikeouts per game is the 18th best mark in the league.
Willy Adames has been on a tear of late, going 8/20 in his last five games with a home run and 5 RBIs. For the season, he leads the Brewers with 15 homers and is batting .249. Rhys Hoskins and William Contreras are also in the top three in home runs for the Brewers, but Hoskins is batting just .212, and Contreras is hitting .287.
Twins Preview
Minnesota's overall series record this season is 19-10-2, and they are 44-25 in games where they have been favored. The Twins are 27-19 at home and 27-24 on the road, and their straight-up record is 54-43. They are currently five games behind the Guardians in the AL Central.
Against the run line, the Twins are 46-51, with a 31-38 record as favorites. The over/under line for today's game is 8 runs, and their O/U record in games with that total is 7-14-2. Minnesota's games have averaged 9.2 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 48-47.
Right-hander Joe Ryan gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Brewers at home. He has made 19 starts this year and has a record of 6-6 with a 3.53 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .217 off Ryan this year, and he has a WHIP of 1.00. In his last outing, Ryan took the loss, giving up five earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One positive note for Ryan is that he has issued just 1.49 walks per nine innings compared to 9.73 strikeouts.
Carlos Correa has been swinging a hot bat for the Twins, as he is batting .308 for the season and is currently on a four-game hitting streak. Correa's 13 homers are 2nd on the team and 14th in the league. Ryan Jeffers and Carlos Santana are tied for the team lead in homers, with both players having gone deep 14 times this season. However, Santana is just 4/20 in his last six games.
Overall, the Twins have the league's 6th best scoring offense at 4.8 runs per game. They are also one of the top home run-hitting teams in the league and have the 3rd best slugging percentage in the league. As a team, the Twins are batting .253, which is 6th in the MLB.
Brewers vs. Twins Prediction: Brewers ML +134
Our predicted score for this Brewers vs. Twins matchup is 6-4 in favor of the Brewers. Given that they are the underdogs, we really like the value of the Brewers on the money line, where they are offering a payout of +134.
If you're looking for a parlay option, we would recommend taking a look at the over/under line, which is sitting at 8 runs. Our model has this game going over, and with the Brewers having a predicted 6 runs, there is some room for error if you wanted to take the over.
