From Nationals Park in Washington, D.C., the Marlins and Nationals face off in an NL East matchup. This one gets started at 1:35 PM ET, and BSFL will be televising it.
The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the Nationals are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -177. The Marlins are +150, and they will be looking to end a two-game losing streak. Miami is 55-94, while the Nationals are 67-81.
Miami vs. Washington Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Marlins at Nationals
- Where: Nationals Park Washington
- Date: Sunday, September 15th
- Betting Odds WSH -177 | MIA +150 O/U 8.5
Marlins vs Nationals Last Game Recap
Washington picked up a 4-1 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Nationals had a three-run 2nd inning and added an insurance run in the 8th. As for the Marlins, they scored their only run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Nationals were favored at -145 on the money line.
Patrick Corbin started for the Nationals and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued five walks. Valente Bellozo got the start for the Marlins, going just 5 1/3 innings and giving up three runs on six hits.
Jose Tena and Joey Gallo each homered for the Nationals, while Juan Yepez went 1/3 with two RBIs and a run scored. Keibert Ruiz also had a two-hit game at the plate.
Marlins Preview
As underdogs, the Marlins have a 51-80 record this season, and when favored, they are just 4-14. Their overall series record is 11-26-9, and they are currently losing the series against the Nationals 1-2. Miami's over/under record for the season is 79-65, and when the total is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over in 28 of 51 games.
On the road, the Marlins have a 27-47 record straight up and are 37-37 against the run line. They have failed to cover the run line in their last two road games. Overall, Miami is 55-94, and they are 34.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East, sitting in 5th place.
Adam Oller will be making his 5th start of the season for the Marlins, and it will be on the road against the Nationals. Oller has a 1-2 record on the year, and in his last start, he took a loss to the Pirates, giving up 6 runs in 5 innings of work. Oller has 15 strikeouts in 16 1/3 innings this season.
So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have a collective OPS of just .666. As a team, they are batting .241, which is 13th in the league.
Jake Burger and Jesús Sánchez have been the Marlins' most consistent power threats this season, with 25 and 17 homers, respectively. Burger comes into the game with a batting average of .244, while Sánchez is hitting .245. Over his last five games, Burger is 6/21, while Otto Lopez has gone 5/18 in that stretch.
Nationals Preview
Washington is 67-81 overall this season and 4th in the NL East, 22 games behind the Phillies. They have a 22-23 record in divisional matchups and are currently on a two-game winning streak. The Nationals have an 83-65 run line record for the season and are 70-51 as underdogs.
For the season, Washington's over/under record is 70-72, with the average total runs per game being 8.9. Their current under streak is at 2 games, and games with totals higher than 8.5 runs have accounted for 39.9% of their matchups this year.
Washington is sending left-hander MacKenzie Gore to the mound today vs. the Marlins. He has made 29 starts this season and has a record of 8-12 with a 4.34 ERA. Gore's WHIP for the season is 1.52, and opponents are batting .264 off him this year. In his 29 starts, Gore has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 9.65 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last outing, Gore took the loss vs. the Braves, giving up two earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of work. He has given up at least one homer in three straight outings.
So far this season, the Nationals offense has been pretty average, as they are 22nd in runs per game at 4.2. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have a team slugging percentage of just .378. However, they have been good at putting the ball in play, as they have the 5th fewest strikeouts in the league. As a team, they are batting .244.
CJ Abrams has been the Nationals' top power threat this season, leading the team with 20 home runs. However, he is batting just .239. Luis Garcia Jr. is batting .281 and is 2nd on the team with 64 RBIs. Abrams has gone 2/5 with two homers over his last five games, and he is currently on a three-game hitting streak.
Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs -104
Our predictions for this Nationals vs. Marlins matchup is to take the over, with the line being set at 8.5 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Nationals, giving us some nice value with the over at -104.
If you're looking for a money line pick, we would go with the Nationals, but at -177, we don't see as much value there as we do with the over. Looking at the starting pitchers, MacKenzie Gore is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the third-best among starters today.
