There does appear to be a chance of rain for Sunday's Marlins vs. Phillies game in Philadelphia. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and the Phillies are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -250. The Marlins are +206 underdogs.
First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is set for 1:35 PM ET, and BSFL will be televising this NL East matchup. Miami comes in with a record of 30-53, while the Phillies are 54-29 overall.
Miami vs. Philadelphia Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Marlins at Phillies
- Where: Citizens Bank Park Philadelphia
- Date: Sunday, June 30th
- Betting Odds PHI -250 | MIA +206 O/U 8.5
Marlins vs Phillies Last Game Recap
Miami rallied for two runs in the 7th inning in the most recent game of this Marlins vs. Phillies series. The Marlins scored one run in the 1st inning but didn't score another run until putting up two in the top of the 7th, picking up a 3-2 win. Heading into the game, the Marlins were at +213 on the money line.
Philadelphia wasted a good outing from Aaron Nola, as he gave up just three earned runs in 6 2/3 innings of work for the Phillies. Nola took the loss in the game. Miami's Andrew Nardi got the win out of the bullpen, and Tanner Scott got the save.
Roddery Muñoz only went 4 2/3 innings for the Marlins but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He did not factor into the decision. Nick Gordon and Otto Lopez each had two hits and an RBI for Miami's offense.
Marlins Preview
Despite their struggles in the NL East, the Marlins have been a solid bet against the run line this season, posting a 36-47 record. As underdogs, they are 35-33 against the run line, and on the road, they are 20-20. Miami has a 6-4 record in their last ten games and their average run differential in losses is -3.9.
Miami has a 30-53 overall record and they are 24 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Marlins have a 14-26 record on the road and have gone 7-18 in divisional games this season. The under has hit in their last two games with an O/U line of 8.5 runs.
Yonny Chirinos is getting the start for the Marlins on the road against the Phillies. In his first start of the season, he went 5 innings and gave up 1 earned run on 3 hits. He struck out 5 batters and did not allow a home run. In his last start, he went 5 innings and gave up 2 earned runs on 8 hits.
So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 2.9 runs per contest. Miami's offense is also 23rd in home runs and is batting a collective .230. As a team, the Marlins have the league's worst on-base percentage and OPS.
One of the few bright spots in the Marlins lineup has been Bryan De La Cruz, who is batting .239 this season and leads the team with 14 home runs and 39 RBIs. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has also been a solid power threat, as he is 2nd on the team with 10 homers. Over his last six games, Otto Lopez is hitting .364, and Nick Gordon has gone 6/20 in his last five games.
Phillies Preview
Philadelphia has a 54-29 record and are seven games ahead of the Braves in the NL East. They have won three straight series and have an overall series record of 17-7-4. The Phillies are 48-23 as favorites and have a 31-12 record when favored at home.
When the Phillies win, they do so by an average of 3.9 runs per game, leading to a 44-39 run line record. Their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game this season, and the under has hit in two straight games. Overall, their O/U record is 35-43.
Ranger Suárez is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Tigers, as he gave up four earned runs in six innings of work. He ended up taking the loss in that game. Before that outing, Suárez had turned in three straight starts without giving up more than one earned run. His ERA for the season is an impressive 1.83, along with a record of 10-2. Suárez has made 16 starts, and opponents are batting .194 vs. the left-hander. This year, he has one complete game shutout and 11 quality starts.
Philadelphia comes into the game as one of the league's best offensive teams, as they are 5th in scoring at 5 runs per contest. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per game. Not only do the Phillies have a good team batting average, but they are also near the top of the league in home runs and have the 2nd best on-base percentage in the league.
Bryce Harper is not only one of the league's top home run hitters, but he also has a strong batting average of .303 and has driven in 58 runs this season. Harper is also on a 12-game hitting streak. Alec Bohm and Kyle Schwarber are also near the top of the league in homers, with Bohm batting .298 and Schwarber at .250.
Marlins vs. Phillies Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs -105
We do see the Phillies coming away with a win in this one, but at -250, the payout isn't worth the risk. Instead, we like the over at 8.5 runs. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Phillies, giving us some wiggle room if the line moves.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Yonny Chirinos going five innings and picking up five strikeouts. As for Ranger Suarez, we have him also finishing with five K's and going six innings.
