Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Matchup

At 7:10 PM ET, the Marlins and Mets face off in an NL East matchup. This one is taking place at Citi Field in New York, and the Mets are heavily favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -197. The money line odds for a Marlins win are at +165, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs.

BSFL will be televising Thursday's matchup, and Luis Severino will be on the mound for the Mets. The Marlins are starting Roddery Munoz, and they are 23-44 overall, which is 5th in the NL East. The Mets are 4th in the NL East, with a record of 29-37.

Miami vs. New York Matchup At A Glance

  • Teams: Marlins at Mets
  • Where: Citi Field New York
  • Date: Thursday, June 13th
  • Betting Odds NYM -197 | MIA +165 O/U 8.5

Marlins vs Mets Last Game Recap

New York cruised to a 10-4 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 2nd inning, scoring three runs, and added three more in the 3rd. On the other side, the Marlins scored their only two runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -157 on the money line.

David Peterson only went five innings for the Mets but gave up just one hit and one earned run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued two walks. Braxton Garrett struggled on the mound for the Marlins, giving up four runs in just 4 2/3 innings of work.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. hit the game's only home run while going 2/4 with two RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Starling Marte did a bit of everything for the Mets, going 2/4 with a home run and two RBIs while scoring two runs and stealing a base.

Marlins Preview

It's been a tough season for the Marlins, who are 23-44 and 23 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. They are 5-13 against divisional opponents and have a 12-25 record at home. Miami is 5-15-1 in series play and have lost four straight series.

When the O/U line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Marlins have a 14-10 O/U record. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their overall O/U record is 36-30.

Roddery Muñoz will be making his third start of the season for the Marlins, and it will be his second on the road. He took a loss in his first two outings, with a win coming at home against the Rockies and a loss to the Guardians. In his last start, he gave up 4 earned runs in 4 innings of work.

So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. They have been even worse in terms of power, as their team ISO of .116 is the worst in the league. Miami's team batting average is .233, and they are also near the bottom of the league in terms of on-base percentage and slugging. One positive for the Marlins is that they have the 7th fewest strikeouts in the league.

Bryan De La Cruz has been one of the Marlins' most consistent hitters this season, batting .249 for the season and going 9/35 (.257) over his last nine games. He also has two homers during this stretch and is on a three-game hitting streak. De La Cruz's 11 homers this season is the best mark on the team and 10th in the league. Jazz Chisholm Jr. leads the Marlins with 32 RBIs and is 2nd on the team with nine homers.

Mets Preview

Currently, the Mets are 4th in the NL East with a 29-37 record, 16.5 games behind the Phillies. They have a 10-10 record in divisional matchups and are 6-4 in their last 10 games. New York has won two straight series on the road and will aim to take the series from the Marlins today.

For run line bettors, the Mets have been more profitable on the road with an 18-11 record, compared to 12-25 at home. Their over/under record for games with an 8.5 run total is 8-5, and their overall over/under record is 34-30. Today's over/under line is set at 8.5 runs.

Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in eight innings of work. In that outing vs. the Nationals, he only gave up four hits and issued zero walks. Overall, Severino has made 12 starts and has a record of 4-2 with an ERA of 3.25. Opponents are batting .204 off the right-hander this season. Severino has made five quality starts this year and is averaging 7.25 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed five homers and is averaging 3.38 walks per nine innings.

Over his last 10 games, Pete Alonso has gone 10/42 with two home runs and six RBIs. Alonso's 14 homers this season leads the Mets and is 7th in the league. New York's top three leaders in RBIs are all tied at 32, with Alonso, shortstop Francisco Lindor, and left fielder Brandon Nimmo all having the same total.

As a team, the Mets are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. New York is also one of the league's top home run hitting teams, coming in 11th in the league. Currently, Starling Marte is on a five-game hitting streak and is batting .288 for the season.

Marlins vs. Mets Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs -110

Our prediction for the Mets vs. Marlins game is to take the over, with the line being set at 8.5 runs. We have the Mets picking up a 5-4 win, which means there is some value in taking the Mets on the money line, but we actually like the over more.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Luis Severino finishing with six strikeouts compared to Roddery Muñoz with five. If you're looking for a player prop bet, Severino is a good option to finish with more strikeouts.

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