The Brewers will look to end their two-game losing streak when they host the Marlins today at American Family Field in Milwaukee. However, they are heavy favorites on the money line at -208, while the Marlins are at +173. Today's over/under line is at 8.5 runs.
First pitch for this NL matchup is set for 2:10 PM ET, and the game can be seen on BSFL. Kyle Tyler is starting for the Marlins, and he is facing off against Tobias Myers. The Brewers are 59-45, while the Marlins are 39-66.
Miami vs. Milwaukee Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Marlins at Brewers
- Where: American Family Field Milwaukee
- Date: Sunday, July 28th
- Betting Odds MIL -208 | MIA +173 O/U 8.5
Marlins vs Brewers Last Game Recap
Despite coming in as the slight underdogs on the road, the Marlins picked up a 7-3 win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. Miami's offense got off to a fast start, scoring two runs in the first and adding five more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Brewers got on the board with three runs in the 4th.
Max Meyer only went four innings for the Marlins but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. Bryan Hoeing got the win out of the bullpen. Aaron Civale went 5 1/3 innings for the Brewers, giving up two earned runs on seven hits.
Josh Bell and Jesus Sanchez each homered for the Marlins, while Jake Burger scored three times and drove in a run while going 2/4. Nick Fortes also had a two-hit game at the plate.
Marlins Preview
As underdogs, the Marlins have a 25-24 run line record on the road and have covered in five straight games. Overall, they are 50-55 against the run line. Miami is 39-66 for the season and are 5th in the NL East, 26.5 games behind the Phillies.
Miami's over/under record for games with an 8.5 run line is 18-16, and they have hit the over in six consecutive games. The Marlins have an overall series record of 9-21-3 this season.
Kyle Tyler and the Marlins are on the road to take on the Brewers. Tyler has started all 4 games for the Marlins this season, and he has yet to pick up a win. In his last start, he went 4 2/3 innings and gave up 3 earned runs on 9 hits and 2 walks.
Josh Bell has been on a tear for the Marlins of late, going 10/21 in his last five games with four homers and seven RBIs. For the season, he is batting just .239, but his 14 homers are 2nd on the team. Bell's recent surge has helped him move into the team's 2nd spot in RBIs. Bryan De La Cruz and Jazz Chisholm Jr. are tied for the team lead in RBIs, with each player having 50 so far this season.
As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They have been a little better at home, where they are averaging 4 runs per contest. Miami is also near the bottom of the league in terms of on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS.
Brewers Preview
Today, the Brewers are looking to avoid a sweep by the Marlins after dropping the first two games of the series. Milwaukee leads the NL Central by six games with a 59-45 record and a 23-13 divisional record. The Brewers have a 19-11-3 series record and have won two straight series.
When the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, the Brewers have a 23-17 record, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs this season. Milwaukee's run line record is 54-50, with an average run differential of +0.7 runs per game. In wins, their average run differential is +3.4, while in losses, it is -2.8.
Milwaukee is sending right-hander Tobias Myers to the mound today vs. the Marlins. Myers has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 6-4 with a 3.14 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Myers has a WHIP of 1.15 and has allowed a total of 11 home runs. In his last outing, Myers took the loss, giving up two earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Myers' ERA at home is 4.31, compared to 3.01 on the road. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.91 strikeouts and 2.56 walks.
Currently, the Brewers are 9th in the league in scoring at 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .254 as a team, which is the 4th best mark in the league. Milwaukee has been good at avoiding strikeouts this season and are near the top of the league in walks.
Rhys Hoskins has been a key power bat for the Brewers this season, as he is 15th in the league with 17 homers. However, he is batting just .215 for the season. Hoskins has gone deep three times in his last six games while batting .263 over that stretch. William Contreras is batting .288 for the season and is currently on a five-game hitting streak.
Marlins vs. Brewers Prediction: Marlins ML +173
Our prediction for the Marlins vs. Brewers matchup is to take the Marlins on the money line, with the payout being +173. We have the Marlins winning this one by a final score of 5-4.
Looking at today's starting pitchers, Tobias Myers is projected to finish with six strikeouts, while Marlins starter Kyle Tyler is projected to finish with five. Myers is projected to finish with a lower ERA than Tyler, but we still have the Marlins coming out on top.
