From Citi Field in New York, we have the Astros and Mets facing off in an interleague matchup. First pitch is set for 1:40 PM ET, and WPIX will be televising this one. The Astros are 2nd in the AL West, while the Mets are 3rd in the NL East.
The money line odds have the Mets at -158, while the Astros are sitting at +133. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and today's starting pitching matchup is Shawn Dubin for the Astros and Luis Severino for the Mets.
Houston vs. New York Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Astros at Mets
- Where: Citi Field New York
- Date: Sunday, June 30th
- Betting Odds NYM -158 | HOU +133 O/U 9
Astros vs Mets Last Game Recap
Houston rallied for three runs in the 8th and another two in the 9th in the most recent game of this Astros vs Mets series. The Astros scored one run in the 1st inning but didn't score another run until putting up three in the top of the 8th, picking up a 9-6 win. Heading into the game, the Astros were at -101 on the money line.
Framber Valdez got the start for the Astros, going just 4 2/3 innings while giving up six runs and striking out five. Seth Martinez got the win out of the bullpen, and Josh Hader got the save. Reed Garrett took the loss for the Mets out of the bullpen.
At the plate, Jake Meyers and Mauricio Dubon each had two hits and two RBIs for the Astros. Yordan Alvarez also had a two-hit game and scored a run. For the Mets, Mark Vientos hit the game's only home run and went 2/4 with three RBIs.
Astros Preview
After winning four straight series, the Astros are at an even 41-41 overall and 4.5 games behind the Mariners in the AL West. They have an 8-2 record in their last 10 games and are looking to bounce back after losing the last game of their series vs. the Indians.
When it comes to the run line, the Astros have a 11-8 record as underdogs, but are 28-35 as favorites. Their average run margin in winning games is 4.0, while in losses, it's -3.3. This season, their games have averaged 8.9 runs, and their over/under record is 30-48. For games with a total of 9 runs, their O/U record is 9-7-2.
Houston is sending right-hander Shawn Dubin to the mound today as he faces the Mets on the road. Dubin has made 14 appearances this season and has a record of 1-1 with an ERA of 5.64. Looking at his numbers, Dubin's WHIP for the season is 1.66, and opponents are batting .302 off him this year. He most recently pitched on June 26th out of the bullpen, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in one inning of work. Before that outing, he had a streak of three straight appearances without giving up an earned run.
Over the past seven games, Jose Altuve has gone 11/31, which is good for a batting average of .355. During this stretch, he has two home runs and six RBIs. Yordan Alvarez has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 13/28 in his last seven games. This has helped him take over the team lead in RBIs, with 41, and he is also 10th in the league with 16 homers. Alvarez is currently on a four-game hitting streak.
As a team, the Astros are batting a league-best .264 and are also the top home run hitting team in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. Houston is also one of the league's best slugging teams, with a team slugging percentage of .422.
Mets Preview
Currently on a six-series winning streak, the Mets have an overall series record of 13-12-3 this season. They have a 40-40 record and are 12.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Mets are 11-10 in divisional matchups this year.
As underdogs, the Mets have a 24-15 run line record, but as favorites, they are 14-27. Their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 42-36. The over has hit in four straight games for the Mets, and the O/U line for today's game is set at 9 runs.
Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn't give up a run. Against the Cubs on June 23rd, he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just three hits. In his 15 starts, Severino has a record of 5-2 and an ERA of 3.29. Opponents are batting .213 this season off the right-hander. So far, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 7.07 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, Severino has allowed eight homers and is averaging 3.09 walks per nine innings.
Francisco Lindor has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Mets, going 12/32 in his last seven games with one home run and three RBIs. This has pushed his season average to .252, and he is currently on a five-game hitting streak. Pete Alonso comes into the game as the Mets' leader in home runs, as he is 9th in the league with 17 long balls this season.
Overall, the Mets are 6th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.7 runs per contest. As a team, the Mets have the 4th most home runs in the league and are among the league leaders in team on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS.
Astros vs. Mets Prediction: Astros ML +133
With the Astros being the underdogs on the money line at +133, that is the route we recommend going today. We actually have the Astros winning this one on the road by a score of 6-5.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Luis Severino is predicted to finish with six strikeouts, which has him just outside the top 10 in terms of starting pitchers today. As for the Astros, they are projected to finish with 12 K's, which is the fifth most in the league today.
