At 1:40 PM ET from Progressive Field in Cleveland, we have an interleague matchup between the Padres and Guardians. San Diego is 3rd in the NL West with a record of 51-50, while the Guardians are 1st in the AL Central at 59-38.
The over/under line for Sunday's game is at 8 runs, and the Guardians are the slight favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -113. The Padres are starting Michael King, while Ben Lively is on the mound for the Guardians. BSGL will be televising Sunday's game.
San Diego vs. Cleveland Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Padres at Guardians
- Where: Progressive Field Cleveland
- Date: Sunday, July 21st
- Betting Odds CLE -113 | SD -105 O/U 8
Padres vs Guardians Last Game Recap
San Diego cruised to a 7-0 win over the Guardians in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 4th inning, scoring all seven of their runs. As for the Guardians, they only had one hit and didn't score a run until the 8th inning.
Dylan Cease started for the Padres and picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with 10 strikeouts but did issue one walk. On the other side, Gavin Williams got the start for the Guardians and took the loss, going just 3 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs.
At the plate, David Peralta and Jake Cronenworth each homered for the Padres. Peralta, Luis Campusano, and Jackson Merrill each had two hits and two RBIs. Xander Bogaerts also had a two-hit game for San Diego.
Padres Preview
San Diego has been struggling lately, losing seven of their last ten games and three straight series. They are 29-29 as the favorite and 22-21 as the underdog this season. Overall, the Padres are 51-50 and have gone over the total in 53 of their 100 games.
On the run line, the Padres have been a good bet on the road with a 32-15 record, but have struggled as the favorite with a 22-36 record. The O/U line for today's game is set at 8 runs, and the under has hit in their last two games.
Right-hander Michael King gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Guardians on the road. King has made 19 starts this year and has a record of 7-6 with a 3.40 ERA. So far, he has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 10.46 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, King took the loss, going six innings and giving up two earned runs on three hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. King has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 6-2 and an ERA of 3.34 compared to 1-4 with a 4.35 ERA at home.
So far this season, the Padres offense is averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have been especially good on the road, averaging 4.7 runs per contest. As a team, the Padres are batting .260, which is the 2nd best mark in the MLB. They also are near the top of the league in home runs and have the 2nd fewest strikeouts in the league.
Jurickson Profar, Jake Cronenworth, and Fernando Tatis Jr. are all tied for the team lead in home runs with 14. Profar and Cronenworth are also near the top of the league in RBIs, with Profar's 59 RBIs leading the team and being the 13th best mark in the league. Cronenworth has struggled of late, hitting just .231 over his last seven games.
Guardians Preview
So far this season, the Guardians have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 20-13, compared to 29-35 as the favorite. Their average run margin in wins is +3.4 runs per game, while it drops to -3.1 runs per game in losses. Cleveland's games have averaged 8.6 runs per game, and the over has hit in 47 of their 91 games.
Cleveland is 59-38 overall and leads the AL Central by 5 games over the Twins. They have dropped two straight series and are currently on a six-game losing streak as the underdog. As the favorite, the Guardians have a 43-21 record this season.
Right-hander Ben Lively gets the start for the Guardians today as he faces the Padres at home. Lively has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 8-5 with a 3.58 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Lively has a WHIP of 1.17 and has issued just 2.56 walks per nine innings compared to 7.98 strikeouts. He has turned in five quality starts this year and has not allowed a homer in three straight outings. In his last start, Lively took the loss, giving up two earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work.
Heading into today's game, the Guardians are 9th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.8 runs per game. At home, they have been even better, putting up 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .242 and have the league's 13th ranked home run total. Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been the team's top power threats, as Ramirez's 23 homers are 5th in the league, and Naylor's 22 is 6th in the MLB.
Over his last eight games, Angel Martinez has gone just 6/34, but he does have two homers in that stretch. Martinez will look to get back on track today and help the Guardians' offense, which has been pretty consistent so far this season.
Padres vs. Guardians Prediction: Guardians ML -113
Our prediction for today's Padres vs. Guardians game is to take the Guardians on the money line, with the payout being -113. We actually have the Guardians winning this one by a score of 6-5.
Looking at some of the starting pitcher projections, we have Michael King going five innings and finishing with five strikeouts. As for Ben Lively, we have him going six innings and finishing with four strikeouts.
Offensively, our projections have the Guardians finishing with nine hits compared to the Padres with nine. The Padres are projected to finish with six runs, while the Guardians are projected to score six.
Another way to look at this game would be to take the Guardians on the run line, as we have them winning by a single run.
