At 1:35 PM ET, the Guardians and Phillies square off in an interleague matchup. This one is taking place at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, and the Phillies are favored on the money line (-145). The over/under line is currently 9.5 runs.
Cleveland comes in with a record of 62-42, while the Phillies are 65-39. Joey Cantillo is starting for the Guardians, while Kolby Allard is on the mound for the Phillies. This game will be televised on MLBN.
Cleveland vs. Philadelphia Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Guardians at Phillies
- Where: Citizens Bank Park Philadelphia
- Date: Sunday, July 28th
- Betting Odds PHI -145 | CLE +122 O/U 9.5
Guardians vs Phillies Last Game Recap
Philadelphia cruised to an easy 8-0 win over the Guardians in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 4th inning, scoring seven of their eight runs. As for the Guardians, they had their best scoring chance in the 6th, scoring their only run and leaving two runners on base.
Tyler Phillips started for the Phillies and picked up the win, going nine innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with just four hits allowed and four strikeouts. Carlos Carrasco had a rough outing for the Guardians, taking the loss after going just 3 2/3 innings and giving up six runs.
Kyle Schwarber and Brandon Marsh each homered for the Phillies, while Nick Castellanos went 2/3 with two RBIs and two runs scored. Bryce Harper also had a two RBI game at the plate.
Guardians Preview
Cleveland is 62-42 overall and leads the AL Central by 4.5 games over the Twins. They have a 33-15 home record and are looking to bounce back after dropping four of their last six games. As the underdog, the Guardians have a 21-15 run line record, but as the favorite, they are 29-39.
Guardians games have averaged 8.4 runs this season, and their over/under record is 49-49. The O/U line for today's game is set at 9.5 runs, and their games have gone over in 2 of 3 when the line has been at 9.5 runs.
Today, Joey Cantillo gets the nod for the Guardians as they face the Phillies. It's his chance to make a strong opening statement, as this will be his first time on the mound this year.
Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been the top power threats in the Cleveland lineup this season, as Ramirez's 24 homers are 8th in the league and Naylor's 22 home runs are 10th in the MLB. Ramirez also has the 2nd most RBIs in the league, with 82. However, Ramirez is batting just .233 over his last eight games, and Naylor is at .150 over his last seven games.
As a team, the Guardians are 13th in scoring at 4.6 runs per game. They have been a better offensive team at home this season, averaging 4.7 runs per game. Overall, they are 11th in batting average and have the 15th best slugging percentage in the league.
Phillies Preview
Philadelphia is 57-31 as the favorite this season, including a 37-15 record at home. They have an overall series record of 19-11-5, but have lost three straight series. The Phillies are 65-39 and hold a 9.5-game lead over the Braves in the NL East.
For the season, the Phillies have a run differential of +1.1 runs per game and are 53-51 against the run line. The under has hit in their last two games, and in games with an over/under line of 9.5, they are 3-6. The O/U line for today's game is set at 9.5 runs, which is higher than their season average of 8 runs per game.
Left-hander Kolby Allard is set to make his fourth start of the season for the Phillies, and he'll be looking to pick up his first win. In his three previous starts, Allard has gone 0-1 with an ERA of 6.57. His WHIP is 1.62, and opponents are hitting .296 against him. Allard's FIP for the season is 4.23, and he has allowed a total of two home runs. For the season, Allard is averaging 9.49 strikeouts per nine innings and 2.92 walks per nine innings.
The Phillies come into the game as one of the league's best offensive teams, as they are 5th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are 3rd in team batting average and 6th in home runs. One area they have been especially good is avoiding strikeouts, as they are 13th in the league in fewest strikeouts.
Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been two of the Phillies' top power threats this season, as Harper leads the team with 24 homers, and Schwarber is right behind him with 20. Harper is also 9th in the league in RBIs, while Alec Bohm's 71 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 6th in the MLB. Bohm is also hitting .297 for the season.
Guardians vs. Phillies Prediction: Phillies ML -145
We see the Phillies taking this one by a score of 5-4, and with them having a money line of -145, this is the best way to play this game. At -145, the Phillies have an implied win probability of 59%, and we have them winning this one just over 60% of the time.
Looking at the over/under line, we would actually take the under at 9.5. However, we have this game finishing with a combined nine runs, and with the line sitting at 9.5, we would recommend sticking with a Phillies win on the money line.
