Carlos Carrasco will start for the Guardians on Sunday, as they are facing off against the Marlins, who will be starting Trevor Rogers. Cleveland is currently 41-22, while the Marlins are 22-42. This one is getting started at 1:40 PM ET from loanDepot Park in Miami.
The over/under line for Sunday's interleague matchup is at 8.5 runs, and the Guardians are the slight money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -111 compared to the Marlins at -107. This game will be televised on BSFL.
Cleveland vs. Miami Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Guardians at Marlins
- Where: loanDepot Park Miami
- Date: Sunday, June 9th
- Betting Odds CLE -111 | MIA -107 O/U 8.5
Guardians vs Marlins Last Game Recap
Cleveland cruised to an easy 8-0 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a huge 5th inning, scoring six of their eight runs. As for the Marlins, they had their best chance to score in the 7th, but could only muster four hits and left four runners on base.
Ben Lively only went five innings for the Guardians but didn't give up a run and picked up the win. Roddery Munoz struggled on the mound for the Marlins, giving up four earned runs in just four innings of work. He took the loss.
Steven Kwan and Jose Ramirez each homered for the Guardians, while Josh Naylor scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/5. David Fry also had a two-hit game and drove in a run.
Guardians Preview
With an overall series record of 14-5-1, the Guardians are currently tied in their series vs. the Marlins. Cleveland's season run line record is 35-28, as they have an average run margin of 3.7 runs in their wins and -2.9 runs in their losses.
Heading into today's game, the Guardians are 41-22, leading the AL Central by three games over the Royals. Cleveland has been good as the favorite, going 29-14, and they have a 20-14 road record. This season, 55.6% of their games have had lower over/under lines than today's line of 8.5 runs.
Cleveland is sending right-hander Carlos Carrasco to the mound today vs. the Marlins. He comes in with a record of 2-5 and an ERA of 5.66. Looking at his overall numbers, Carrasco has made 10 starts, and opponents are batting .272 this season. In his 10 appearances, Carrasco has turned in just two quality starts. His last time out, he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in four innings of work. Before that outing, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts.
Jose Ramirez has been the league's top run producer so far this season, as his 61 RBIs are the best in the MLB. Ramirez has also been a big power threat for the Guardians, as his 18 homers are the best on the team and 4th in the league. He comes into the game with a 10-game hitting streak, during which he has gone 12/37 (.324) with three homers.
Josh Naylor is also among the league leaders in homers, as his 16 long balls are 6th in the MLB. However, he is batting just .224 for the season and has really struggled of late, going 7/40 in his last 10 games. Naylor does have three homers during this stretch but has just a .175 batting average.
Marlins Preview
As the underdog, Miami has a 19-30 record and a 25-24 run line record. Overall, the Marlins are 22-42 and have a 26-38 run line record. They have a 5-14-1 series record and have lost three straight series.
Miami's games have averaged 8 runs this season, and their over/under record is 34-29. The Marlins have gone over the total in 14 of 24 games with an 8.5 run line. At home, they have an 11-25 run line record and are 12-24 straight up.
Left-hander Trevor Rogers gets the start for the Marlins today as he faces the Guardians at home. This year, he has made 12 starts and is 1-7 with a 5.68 ERA. Looking back at his last outing, Rogers took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. In that start, he gave up three walks and two home runs. Rogers has a WHIP of 1.75 and is averaging 7.42 strikeouts per nine innings. At home, he is 0-4 with a 6.34 ERA.
Josh Bell has been on fire for the Marlins, going 17/40 in his last 10 games, with six runs scored and four RBIs. This has helped him take over the team's top spot in RBIs, as he has 31 for the season. Bryan De La Cruz has also been a good run producer for the Marlins, as he has 11 homers and 28 RBIs, but he has struggled of late, going just 6/36 in his last nine games.
As a team, the Marlins are 29th in the league in runs scored, averaging just 3.6 runs per game. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .235, which is 12th in the league, but their on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS are all near the bottom of the league.
Guardians vs. Marlins Prediction: Guardians ML -111
We see the Guardians taking this one on the road with a predicted final score of 5-4. Given that they are at -111 on the money line, that is the route we recommend going. Our predicted starter, Carlos Carrasco, is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is good for 17th among starters.
As for the Marlins, our predicted starter, Trevor Rogers, is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and we have the Marlins finishing with the second-worst home run total among all teams today.
